Match Info

USA: USL Championship

Date: 19 July 2024, Friday

Location: Lynn Family Stadium (Louisville, KY)

Referee: Hassan M. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	CBS, Paramount+
World	Disney+


	Louisville City		Colorado Springs Switchbacks

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.44	4.4	5
	1.47	4.5	5.5
	1.48	4.63	5.74
	1.49	4.48	5.82	Watch
	1.44	4.2	5.5
	1.48	4.61	5.64	Watch
	1.45	4.4	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.5)	4.46 ↑ (4.25)	5.51 ↓ (5.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Louisville City
62.7%

Draw
20.6%

Colorado Springs Switchbacks
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

21.8%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

18.4%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Louisville City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Colorado Springs Switchbacks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Louisville City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colorado Springs Switchbacks than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Louisville City - Colorado Springs Switchbacks Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Louisville City will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Colorado Springs will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Las D. (G) 13. Dia A. 6. Charpie W. 4. Totsch S. 2. McFadden A. 3. Morris J. 23. Wynder E. 17. Davila T. 14. Harris W. (C) 7. Serrano R. 27. Davila E.	1. Herrera C. (G) 2. Santos K. 14. Lacroix D. 5. Mahoney M. (C) 6. Real M. 80. Williams D. 99. Foster M. 18. Rocha A. 10. Zandi Z. 20. Hanya Y. 9. Damus R.
Substitutes
20. Gleadle S. 22. Mares D. 11. McCabe N. 8. Moguel Jr. C. 5. Ordonez A. 80. Stamps H. 30. Troutman R. (G) 25. Wilson J.	3. Ackwei W. 8. Fjeldberg J. 17. Henriquez J. 11. Huerman Q. 4. Pierre D. 23. Rice J. (G) 27. Tejada J.
Coaches
Cruz D.	Chambers J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Foster M. ⚽, Zandi Z. (A),
18', Wynder E. 🟨,
27', 1 - 1, Wynder E. ⚽,
37', Damus R. (Pen),
39', Totsch S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Davila E. ↓, Gleadle S. ↑,
46', Dia A. ↓, Ordonez A. ↑,
55', Santos K. 🟨,
66', Hanya Y. ↓, Fjeldberg J. ↑,
66', Zandi Z. ↓, Huerman Q. ↑,
66', Huerman Q. 🟨,
72', Damus R. ↓, Tejada J. ↑,
77', Serrano R. ↓, Mares D. ↑,
77', Morris J. ↓, Wilson J. ↑,
85', Harris W. ↓, McCabe N. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 1, Totsch S. ⚽, Davila T. (A),

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Louisville City could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Louisville City have a series of guest games.

In this match Louisville City is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Louisville City won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Louisville City FC
USL Championship
06.07.24	Oakland Roots - Louisville City	1:0 ✺
29.06.24	Birmingham Legion - Louisville City	1:4 ✺
22.06.24	Louisville City - Rhode Island	2:5 ✺
19.06.24	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Louisville City	0:1 ✺
15.06.24	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Louisville City	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLWL
- Colorado Springs Switchbacks
USL Championship
13.07.24	Birmingham Legion - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	2:1 ✺
04.07.24	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Tulsa	1:0 ✺
29.06.24	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Monterey Bay	1:0 ✺
22.06.24	New Mexico United - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	1:0 ✺
18.06.24	Las Vegas Lights - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
02.09.23	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Louisville City	2:3
23.07.21	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Louisville City	1:1

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