Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier Central - Round 19

Date: 14 January 2025, Tuesday


	Lowestoft Town		Alvechurch

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	3.5	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.35)	3.5 ↑ (3.38)	2.38 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 11.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lowestoft Town
36.6%

Draw
25.6%

Alvechurch
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

26.9%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

25.8%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lowestoft Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Alvechurch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lowestoft Town than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvechurch than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Lowestoft Town - Alvechurch Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, Hadley-Allen D. ⚽,
32', 0 - 2, Willis J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', 0 - 3, Hadley-Allen D. ⚽,
73', 0 - 4, Crowther A. ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 16 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Lowestoft is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alvechurch is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lowestoft could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lowestoft won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:10 (average 2:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Lowestoft won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:4 (average 2.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lowestoft Town
English Southern League Central Division
07.01.25	Lowestoft Town - Stamford	0:3 ✺
04.01.25	Redditch United - Lowestoft Town	3:4 ✺
28.12.24	Lowestoft Town - Barwell	1:0 ✺
26.12.24	Leiston - Lowestoft Town	7:2 ✺
21.12.24	Lowestoft Town - St Ives Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LWWLT
- Alvechurch FC
English Southern League Central Division
28.12.24	Biggleswade Town - Alvechurch	1:1 ✺
26.12.24	Alvechurch - Stratford Town	1:2 ✺
21.12.24	Harborough Town - Alvechurch	0:1 ✺
14.12.24	Alvechurch - Spalding United	0:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.12.24	Boston United - Alvechurch	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
16.04.22	Alvechurch - Lowestoft Town	2:0
28.08.21	Lowestoft Town - Alvechurch	3:2
07.12.19	Lowestoft Town - Alvechurch	4:0
09.03.19	Alvechurch - Lowestoft Town	4:2
15.12.18	Lowestoft Town - Alvechurch	1:2

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