Match Info

Super League - Round 31

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Wankdorf (Bern)

Referee: San F. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 6
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1
Ukraine	Sport 2
World	Sport 2 Baltic


	Young Boys		Lugano

	1	X	2
	1.76	3.9	3.9	Watch
	1.95	3.7	3.4
	1.85	3.75	3.65
	1.87	3.98	4.06
	1.93	3.9	3.58	Watch
	1.85	3.6	3.7
	1.8	3.9	3.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (1.94)	3.82 ↑ (3.75)	3.74 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Young Boys
50.4%

Draw
24.5%

Lugano
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

25%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

24.6%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Young Boys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Young Boys than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Young Boys - Lugano Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Young Boys (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Young Boys will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Keller M. (G) 22. Valery Y. 5. Wuthrich G. 30. Lauper S. 23. Benito L. (C) 37. Gigovic A. 6. Fernandes E. 39. Males D. 10. Sanches A. 7. Virginius A. 29. Bedia C.	16. von Ballmoos D. (G) 6. Papadopoulos A. 17. Mai L. 3. Delcroix H. 8. Grgic A. 21. Cimignani Y. 29. Belhadj M. 25. Bislimi U. 26. Marques M. 11. Steffen R. (C) 24. Pihlstrom E.
Substitutes
33. Bukinac S. 11. Colley E. 99. Essende S. 16. Fassnacht C. 17. Janko S. 12. Lindner H. (G) 13. Pech D. 45. Raveloson R. 4. Zoukrou T.	10. Bottani M. 2. Brault-Guillard Z. 44. Joao Carbone 4. Kelvin D. 14. Kendouci A. 9. Koutsias G. 18. Mahou H. 31. Parente J. 1. Saipi A. (G)
Coaches
Seoane G.	Croci-Torti M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Sanches A. ⚽, Virginius A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Papadopoulos A. 🟨,
60', Pihlstrom E. ↓, Mahou H. ↑,
61', Marques M. ↓, Koutsias G. ↑,
65', 1 - 1, Grgic A. (Penalty Awarded),
65', Males D. ↓, Fassnacht C. ↑,
66', Bedia C. ↓, Essende S. ↑,
73', Virginius A. ↓, Colley E. ↑,
73', Valery Y. ↓, Janko S. ↑,
81', von Ballmoos D. 🟨,
82', Lauper S. 🟨,
84', Steffen R. ↓, Bottani M. ↑,
84', Grgic A. 🟨,
86', Gigovic A. ↓, Pech D. ↑,
89', Cimignani Y. ↓, Brault-Guillard Z. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).

Lugano is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Young Boys won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Lugano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Young Boys is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Young Boys won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 37:26. (average 1.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Young Boys won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 21:8. (average 2.1:0.8).

Outrights of Swiss Super League for now

Lugano: 42.18% Young Boys: 25.15%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lugano	10	9	1	0	31:7	24	28
2	Young Boys	9	5	4	0	31:18	13	19

Last Results with these Odds

Young Boys - the odds 1.94 are the expected chance of winning is 48.25%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Young Boys
Swiss Super League
15.03.26	Lausanne-Sport - Young Boys	0:2 ✺
08.03.26	Young Boys - Thun	1:2 ✺
04.03.26	Luzern - Young Boys	1:2 ✺
01.03.26	Young Boys - Zürich	3:0 ✺
22.02.26	Sion - Young Boys	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLWWL
- FC Lugano
Swiss Super League
17.03.26	St. Gallen - Lugano	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Lugano - Luzern	1:3 ✺
04.03.26	Lugano - Sion	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Grasshoppers - Lugano	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Lugano - Lausanne-Sport	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Super League
21.12.25	Lugano - Young Boys	3:0
31.08.25	Young Boys - Lugano	3:1
24.05.25	Lugano - Young Boys	1:1
23.02.25	Young Boys - Lugano	1:0
10.11.24	Young Boys - Lugano	2:1
27.10.24	Lugano - Young Boys	2:0
11.05.24	Young Boys - Lugano	0:1

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