Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 6

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Anxo Carro (Lugo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+


	Lugo		Cacereño

	1	X	2
	1.85	2.88	4.5
	2.1	2.95	3.25
	1.92	3	4.15
	2.06	3.1	3.9
	1.97	3.04	4.13
	2.14	2.85	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.14)	2.97 ↑ (2.89)	3.87 ↑ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lugo
45.6%

Draw
30.8%

Cacereño
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

31.5%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

31.1%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Cacereño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Lugo - Cacereño Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Lugo will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lugo (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martinez M. (C) 3. Garriz I. 16. Jose Amo 17. Caballo D. 24. Gaya J. 22. Samanes S. 10. Alba T. 5. Carbonell A. 23. Junior L. 19. Unzueta I. 15. Reniero N.	1. Nieves D. (G) 2. Martinez I. (C) 5. de Diego J. 4. Crespo A. 22. Hernandez E. 20. Gonzalez C. 10. Hyjek J. 16. Gutierrez D. 24. Valdera R. 17. Berlanga M. 9. Gomez D.
Substitutes
9. Celorio N. 7. Gonzalez J. 2. Merino J. 33. Munoz M. 6. Nicholas N. 11. Pastrana V. 13. Piedra I. (G) 14. Presa K. 18. Roson D. 21. Teofilovic O. 4. Trigueros P.	3. Barrio J. 8. Deco 23. El Goumiri O. 19. Gomez C. 13. Martinez I. (G) 21. Morales A. 6. Rementeria U. 11. Sanchidrian R. 18. Sanchis R. 15. Vicente I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Gaya J. 🟨,
12', Berlanga M. (Pen),
41', Hyjek J. 🟨,
45', Gonzalez C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
73', 1 - 0, Unzueta I. ⚽,
88', Celorio N. 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 14)

Lugo is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cacereño's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Lugo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Lugo might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Lugo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
26.09.25	Talavera de la Reina - Lugo	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	Lugo - Ferrol	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Zamora - Lugo	1:0 ✺
06.09.25	Lugo - Real Avilés	0:0 ✺
29.08.25	Real Madrid Castilla - Lugo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWLTL
- CP Cacereño
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
27.09.25	Barakaldo - Cacereño	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Cacereño - Mérida AD	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Cacereño - Arenteiro	0:2 ✺
06.09.25	Arenas Club de Getxo - Cacereño	2:2 ✺
30.08.25	Pontevedra - Cacereño	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TWLTT

Upcoming Matches