Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 24

Date: 17 February 2024, Saturday


	Teruel		Lugo

	1	X	2
	2.88	2.63	2.8
	2.7	2.6	2.65
	2.8	2.75	2.8	Watch
	2.86	2.71	2.86
	3.01	2.65	2.88
	2.84	2.73	2.73
	2.8	2.65	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.6)	2.67 ↓ (2.75)	2.78 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Teruel
32.4%

Draw
34.5%

Lugo
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

31.7%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

28.6%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Teruel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Teruel than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	75%	12.5%

Teruel - Lugo Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Teruel will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Lugo will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Konate T. (G) 23. Pascual A. 2. Carmona F. 20. Sierra I. 3. Hualde J. (C) 8. Tena 14. Castillo N. 9. Naranjo G. 17. Neskes 30. Alastuey J. 19. Villanueva D.	1. Diaz Parcero L. (G) 2. Martinez C. 4. Perez G. 6. Castrin A. 3. Vazquez J. 21. da Costa M. 17. Merida F. 18. Jozabed 8. Aguza S. 10. Aranda A. 7. Ledesma L.
Substitutes
10. Aparicio D. 4. Cabetas E. 21. Facu 18. Gabarre A. 5. Gaixas A. 24. Lainez Alhajas E. (G) 13. Rodriguez Heredia N. (G) 6. Romero B. 15. Sanchis V.	23. Antonetti L. 11. Antonin 5. Bernardo 35. Embadje F. 19. Fuentes A. 22. Lopez A. 12. Louis-Jean J. 14. Morgado C. 15. Narro V. 20. Ojeda T. 9. Quintana Nacho

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 10).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Teruel won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Teruel
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
10.02.24	Celta de Vigo B - Teruel	3:3 ✺
03.02.24	Teruel - Tarazona	0:0 ✺
27.01.24	Arenteiro - Teruel	1:1 ✺
20.01.24	Teruel - Cornellà	1:0 ✺
13.01.24	Sestao - Teruel	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 TTTWT
- CD Lugo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
11.02.24	Lugo - Osasuna B	1:1 ✺
03.02.24	Real Unión de Irun - Lugo	0:0 ✺
27.01.24	Lugo - Real Sociedad B	1:0 ✺
21.01.24	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Lugo	2:0 ✺
13.01.24	Tarazona - Lugo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
27.08.23	Lugo - Teruel	2:1

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