The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lugo 32.6%
Draw 33.4%
Gimnástic de Tarragona 34%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.3%
32.1%
34.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.5%
32.3%
34.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Gimnástic de Tarragona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástic de Tarragona than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Lugo - Gimnástic de Tarragona Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lavin M. (G) 2. Lizancos A. 23. Rodriguez J. 4. Ruiz E. 6. Nicholas N. 27. Gonzalez J. 8. Gonzalez Y. 9. Mendoza B. 22. Vaquero 10. Cabo J. 17. Ochoa M.
1. Varo A. (G) 4. Domingo Ciuraneta P. 14. Sanz O. 5. Dufur U. 7. Jimenez N. 10. Jardi J. 8. Montalvo M. 6. Gorostidi A. 22. Narro V. 9. Antonin 17. Fernandez P.
Substitutes
5. Bernardo 13. Cacharron P. (G) 19. Cuellar J. 7. Hernandez R. 18. Lesme F. 24. Martinez R. 28. Noya D. 11. Perero G. 20. Sanchez M. 14. Vidal D. 3. Zoilo A.
11. Fernandez M. 18. Jimenez A. 16. Lopez A. 21. Oriol J. 3. Perez G. 13. Rebollo D. (G) 19. Rodriguez M. 20. Tirlea A. 2. Vicens B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Fernandez P. ⚽,
14', 0 - 2, Antonin ⚽,
33', 1 - 2, Mendoza B. (Pen),
36', Jimenez N. 🟨,
39', Vaquero 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Jimenez N. ↓, Oriol J. ↑,
53', Gonzalez Y. 🟨,
56', Ochoa M. ↓, Martinez R. ↑,
62', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
63', Mendoza B. ↓, Lesme F. ↑,
63', Vaquero ↓, Vidal D. ↑,
63', Gonzalez J. ↓, Perero G. ↑,
70', Antonin ↓, Perez G. ↑,
74', 2 - 2, Ruiz E. ⚽,
75', Lizancos A. 🟨,
78', Cabo J. ↓, Cuellar J. ↑,
79', Fernandez P. ↓, Jimenez A. ↑,
79', Montalvo M. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
82', Vidal D. 🟨,
90', Narro V. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
90+1', Gorostidi A. 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Lugo won 1.
Recent matches Lugo is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Gimnàstic is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Lugo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Lugo won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11:17 (average 1:1.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Lugo won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:7 (average 0.8:1.4).
Spain
Watch
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Lavin M. (G) 
Nicholas N. 
Mendoza B. 
Cuellar J. 
Lesme F. 
Tirlea A. 
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