Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 19

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Reina Sofia (Salamanca)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Unionistas de Salamanca		Zamora

	1	X	2
	2.63	2.75	2.63
	2.68	2.82	2.72
	2.72	2.92	2.77	Watch
	2.63	2.63	2.63
	2.58	2.86	2.68
	2.6	2.9	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.58)	2.81 ↓ (3.03)	2.68 ↓ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unionistas de Salamanca
34.2%

Draw
32.1%

Zamora
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

30.6%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

31.6%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unionistas de Salamanca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Zamora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unionistas de Salamanca than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Unionistas de Salamanca - Zamora Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Suarez Coronas Lastra M. (G) 2. Olmedo V. 5. Farru 3. Gorjon A. 29. Hiobi H. 11. Gomez A. (C) 14. Roldan L. 6. Juanje 8. Lopez J. 24. Abde 15. Valles G.	1. Sobron F. (G) 5. Ruiz E. 4. Athuman I. 20. Codina M. 3. Merchan D. 10. Ramos C. (C) 16. Lozano M. 22. Sancho J. 7. Kike 15. Buron L. 17. Carbonell J.
Substitutes
10. de la Nava C. 22. Lendinez J. 21. Marco P. 1. Marino U. (G) 4. Mayor R. . Murria V. 23. Pinan A. 19. Prada R. 12. Santiago A.	14. Claveria P. 9. Eslava J. 18. Farrell J. 6. Garcia M. 21. Lopez M. 23. Lopez S. 8. Marcelo A. 19. Monerris A. 13. Pereda A. (G) 27. Sy M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Hiobi H. 🟨,
38', Hiobi H. ↓, Murria V. ↑,
40', Gorjon A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', Carbonell J. ↓, Farrell J. ↑,
68', Farru 🟨,
73', Lopez J. ↓, Pinan A. ↑,
73', Valles G. ↓, Marco P. ↑,
75', Roldan L. 🟨,
86', Abde ↓, Lendinez J. ↑,
86', Juanje ↓, de la Nava C. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Recent form of Unionistas has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Zamora is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Unionistas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unionistas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Unionistas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Zamora	6	3	1	2	8:6	2	10
15	Unionistas	6	2	0	4	9:12	-3	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unionistas de Salamanca
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
03.01.26	Barakaldo - Unionistas de Salamanca	5:0 ✺
20.12.25	Unionistas de Salamanca - Cacereño	2:2 ✺
14.12.25	Ferrol - Unionistas de Salamanca	2:1 ✺
08.12.25	Unionistas de Salamanca - Ponferradina	2:2 ✺
29.11.25	Ourense CF - Unionistas de Salamanca	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLTL
- Zamora CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
04.01.26	Zamora - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:0 ✺
21.12.25	CD Guadalajara - Zamora	2:3 ✺
12.12.25	Cacereño - Zamora	0:2 ✺
07.12.25	Zamora - Real Madrid Castilla	2:2 ✺
30.11.25	Osasuna B - Zamora	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
30.03.25	Zamora - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:0
16.11.24	Unionistas de Salamanca - Zamora	1:1
02.04.22	Unionistas de Salamanca - Zamora	2:1
09.01.22	Zamora - Unionistas de Salamanca	2:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
21.02.21	Unionistas de Salamanca - Zamora	1:2

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