The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Unionistas de Salamanca 36%
Draw 32.6%
Ponferradina 31.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.1%
31.2%
26.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.8%
30%
25.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unionistas de Salamanca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Unionistas de Salamanca's form might have worsened.
Ponferradina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unionistas de Salamanca than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unionistas de Salamanca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ponferradina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
33.3%
66.7%
Unionistas de Salamanca - Ponferradina Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Ponferradina will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Marino U. (G) 3. Gorjon A. 2. Olmedo V. 14. Roldan L. 22. Lendinez J. 6. Juanje 8. Lopez J. 11. Gomez A. 24. Abde 18. de Bustos H. 15. Valles G.
1. Prieto A. (C) 4. Moltenis B. 3. Novoa G. 15. Sousa V. 21. Moreno D. 8. Aguilar Elizalde E. 16. Frimpong E. 14. Fernandez X. 17. Keita A. 9. Cortes J. 18. Vazquez B.
Substitutes
9. Alex Pachon 27. Alonso E. (G) 10. de la Nava C. 21. Marco P. 4. Mayor R. 7. Moreno I. 23. Pinan A. 19. Prada R. 26. Rincon N. 12. Santiago A. 13. Suarez Coronas Lastra M. (G)
25. Barredo P. (G) 20. Ferrer P. 13. Jimenez A. (G) 26. Kysil V. 12. Lian 11. Mula A. 6. San Emeterio F. 7. Sergio Benito 5. Undabarrena E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, Fernandez X. ⚽,
19', Juanje 🟨,
20', Gorjon A. 🟨,
28', 0 - 2, Cortes J. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Lendinez J. ↓, de la Nava C. ↑,
46', Frimpong E. ↓, Undabarrena E. ↑,
55', Cortes J. ↓, Sergio Benito ↑,
58', 1 - 2, Olmedo V. ⚽,
62', Olmedo V. 🟨,
73', Keita A. ↓, Mula A. ↑,
73', Fernandez X. ↓, Ferrer P. ↑,
77', Moltenis B. 🟨,
78', 2 - 2, Valles G. (Penalty Awarded),
84', Abde ↓, Marco P. ↑,
85', Aguilar Elizalde E. ↓, San Emeterio F. ↑,
90+5', Valles G. 🟨,
90+5', Valles G. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unionistas won 0.
Unionistas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Ponferradina has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Unionistas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Unionistas will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Unionistas won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.5:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Unionistas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Unionistas de Salamanca - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 42.13%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.
Spain
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Marino U. (G) 
Abde 
Valles G. 
Moltenis B. 
Sousa V. 
Frimpong E. 
Kysil V. 
Lian 
