Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 25

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio do Lusitânia de Lourosa (Lourosa)

Referee: Neves G. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV1


	Lusitânia		Sporting Lisbon B

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.1	2.5
	2.45	3.1	2.55
	2.62	3.2	2.58
	2.76	3.25	2.72
	2.66	3.2	2.66	Watch
	2.6	2.9	2.5
	2.69	3.21	2.59	Watch
	2.4	3	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.4)	3.12 ↑ (2.8)	2.57 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lusitânia
35.2%

Draw
29.3%

Sporting Lisbon B
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

31.9%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

32.7%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Sporting Lisbon B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon B than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Lusitânia - Sporting Lisbon B Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Lusitânia will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lusitânia (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Vitor Hugo (G) 12. Arsenio 3. Josue Sa 5. Silverio (C) 29. Cerveira T. 60. Danny 8. Tokinho Doria 11. Pereira M. 27. Fabinho 88. Teixeira M. 9. Silva J.	41. Diego Callai (G) 50. Dias R. 54. Bruno Ramos 43. Muniz J. 45. Moreira D. 78. Couto M. 96. Justo S. 73. Felicissimo E. 87. Cardoso P. 88. Mendonca M. (C) 90. Nel R.
Substitutes
6. Alhassan I. 4. Collard D. 22. Faria B. 21. Joao Vasco 7. Martins R. 28. Mesquita T. 24. Mimito 23. Sousa M. (G) 77. Tiago Dias	67. Anjos L. 83. Bafdili Z. 68. Costa D. 60. Rayan Lucas 49. Romulus 99. Silva F. (G) 82. Silva G. 95. Taibo Dominguez L. 40. Tanlongo M.
Coaches
Miguel Pedro	Joao Giao

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Arsenio ⚽,
22', Josue Sa 🟨,
37', Silva J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Nel R. ↓, Anjos L. ↑,
48', Bruno Ramos 🟨,
58', Silva J. ↓, Joao Vasco ↑,
59', Fabinho ↓, Martins R. ↑,
63', Bruno Ramos ↓, Bafdili Z. ↑,
63', Moreira D. ↓, Rayan Lucas ↑,
63', Justo S. ↓, Tanlongo M. ↑,
69', Teixeira M. ↓, Mimito ↑,
73', Dias R. 🟨,
78', Couto M. 🟨,
81', Mendonca M. ↓, Taibo Dominguez L. ↑,
83', Tanlongo M. 🟨,
83', Arsenio 🟨,
84', Danny ↓, Mesquita T. ↑,
84', Arsenio ↓, Collard D. ↑,
86', Silverio 🟨,
90+3', Pereira M. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 4).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Sporting B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lusitânia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).

Including home match between the teams, Lusitânia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lusitania FC	6	5	1	0	11:4	7	16
3	Sporting CP B	6	4	0	2	8:6	2	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lusitânia FC
Portuguese Liga 2
01.03.26	Farense - Lusitânia	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Lusitânia - Feirense	1:0 ✺
16.02.26	Penafiel - Lusitânia	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Lusitânia - Felgueiras	2:1 ✺
29.01.26	Benfica B - Lusitânia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LWLWW
- Sporting Lisbon B
Portuguese Liga 2
28.02.26	Sporting Lisbon B - Leixões	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Marítimo - Sporting Lisbon B	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Sporting Lisbon B - Portimonense	4:3 ✺
10.02.26	Paços de Ferreira - Sporting Lisbon B	0:3 ✺
01.02.26	Sporting Lisbon B - Oliveirense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
25.10.25	Sporting Lisbon B - Lusitânia	4:0
Portuguese Liga 3
05.04.25	Lusitânia - Sporting Lisbon B	2:1
07.02.25	Sporting Lisbon B - Lusitânia	1:0

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