Match Info

Taça de Portugal - 1/128-finals

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Lusitano GC		Belenenses

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.4	1.75	Watch
	4.00	3.40	1.73
	4.80	3.80	1.54
	3.97	3.5	1.78
	4.07	3.54	1.79
	3.85	3.35	1.74
	4.17	3.5	1.75
	4.4	3.6	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.18 ↓ (7.21)	3.51 ↓ (3.96)	1.73 ↑ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lusitano GC
21.7%

Draw
25.9%

Belenenses
52.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.6%

22.9%

64.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lusitano GC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lusitano GC's performance.

Belenenses has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Belenenses might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Lusitano GC - Belenenses Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 1)

Preview

Belenenses is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Belenenses may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Belenenses is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lusitano GC won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Including home match between the teams, Lusitano GC won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lusitano GC
Portuguese Liga 3
22.08.26	Lusitano GC - Mafra	2:1 ✺
16.08.26	Caldas - Lusitano GC	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
15.07.26	Benfica B - Lusitano GC	1:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
02.05.26	Lusitano GC - Atlético CP	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Amora - Lusitano GC	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WTTLW
- Os Belenenses
Portuguese Liga 3
22.08.26	Belenenses - União de Santarém	5:0 ✺
15.08.26	Louletano - Belenenses	1:3 ✺
08.08.26	Belenenses - Caldas	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.26	Belenenses - Estoril Praia	1:1 ✺
24.07.26	Benfica - Belenenses	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
07.12.25	Lusitano GC - Belenenses	0:1
23.08.25	Belenenses - Lusitano GC	1:0

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