Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 14

Date: 19 May 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Lusitânia		Alverca

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.4	3.7
	1.83	3.5	3.75
	1.86	3.64	4.09
	1.83	3.64	4.1
	1.84	3.57	3.9
	1.79	3.45	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.97)	3.53 ↑ (3.41)	3.9 ↑ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lusitânia
50.4%

Draw
26%

Alverca
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

27.4%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

27.7%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lusitânia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Alverca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Lusitânia - Alverca Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Lusitânia will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Alverca will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Costa J. (G) 8. Abreu E. (C) 7. Borges M. 77. Goba 3. Lytvyn D. 6. Martins H. 28. Mesquita T. 5. Nandinho 96. Nem Jefferson 10. Rosado D. 14. Valente M.	22. Hidalgo N. (G) 44. Gomes C. 28. Hachadi K. 21. Harramiz S. 15. Lucas J. 88. Martins D. 16. Pires M. 95. Sagna P. 14. Varela J. 33. Venaque 5. Ze Oliveira (C)
Substitutes
26. Flores R. (G) 19. Fortes F. 17. Goncalves R. 4. Morais B. 89. Nuninho 18. Pereira D. 21. Pereira M. 83. Ribeiro S. 9. Silva Nhaga I.	96. Cesinha 17. Costa J. 30. Dias J. (G) 6. Luiz Miguel 35. Pedro Bicalho 8. Pinto G. 20. Salomao D. 19. Silva R. 11. Vitinho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Valente M. ⚽,
8', 1 - 1, Harramiz S. ⚽,
16', Ze Oliveira ↓, Cesinha ↑,
44', Cesinha 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Varela J. ↓, Luiz Miguel ↑,
47', 1 - 2, Luiz Miguel ⚽,
52', 2 - 2, Goba ⚽,
56', Martins D. 🟨,
61', Abreu E. ↓, Pereira D. ↑,
61', Rosado D. ↓, Silva Nhaga I. ↑,
64', Harramiz S. ↓, Costa J. ↑,
72', Pereira D. 🟨,
76', Nem Jefferson ↓, Ribeiro S. ↑,
82', Lytvyn D. 🟨,
84', Borges M. ↓, Fortes F. ↑,
89', Hidalgo N. ↓, Dias J. ↑,
90', 3 - 2, Fortes F. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2).

Alverca is Qualified for Liga Portugal 2

Lusitânia is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alverca is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Lusitânia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Lusitânia is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lusitânia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lusitânia FC
Portuguese Liga 3
12.05.24	Atlético CP - Lusitânia	1:0 ✺
04.05.24	Lusitânia - Braga B	3:2 ✺
28.04.24	Felgueiras - Lusitânia	2:0 ✺
20.04.24	Académica Coimbra - Lusitânia	1:0 ✺
14.04.24	Lusitânia - Covilhã	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LWLLT
- FC Alverca
Portuguese Liga 3
12.05.24	Alverca - Académica Coimbra	2:1 ✺
05.05.24	Covilhã - Alverca	0:2 ✺
28.04.24	Alverca - Varzim	1:0 ✺
20.04.24	Alverca - Felgueiras	1:1 ✺
13.04.24	Atlético CP - Alverca	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
31.03.24	Alverca - Lusitânia	3:1

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