The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mansfield Town 30.7%
Draw 26.4%
Luton Town 42.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.3%
26.1%
39.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.7%
25.6%
40.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mansfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Mansfield Town - Luton Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Roberts L. (G) 2. Knoyle K. 23. Oshilaja A. 5. Sweeney R. (C) 25. Reed L. 22. Moriah-Welsh N. 13. Russell J. 16. Thompson L. 3. McLaughlin S. 24. Hendry R. 14. Smith M.
24. Keeley J. (G) 25. Jones I. 2. Odoffin H. 6. Johnston G. 3. Naismith K. (C) 8. Walsh L. 7. Richards J. 10. Donley J. 45. Palmer K. 11. Lawrence E. 9. Marshall C.
Substitutes
7. Akins L. 20. Blake-Tracy F. 8. Bolton L. 39. Dodgson O. 4. Hewitt E. 17. McGoldrick D. 18. Oates R.
5. Andersen M. 33. Ashby H. 31. Benagr B. 12. Johnson J. 30. Kodua G. 1. Shea J. (G) 21. Wells N.
Coaches
Clough N.
Wilshere J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
8', Reed L. 🟨,
17', 1 - 0, Moriah-Welsh N. ⚽, Russell J. (A),
26', Jones I. 🟨,
28', 2 - 0, Moriah-Welsh N. ⚽, Hendry R. (A),
45', 3 - 0, Reed L. ⚽, Moriah-Welsh N. (A),
45+2', Sweeney R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Jones I. ↓, Johnson J. ↑,
46', Naismith K. ↓, Ashby H. ↑,
46', Lawrence E. ↓, Benagr B. ↑,
47', 4 - 0, Russell J. ⚽,
53', Sweeney R. ↓, Blake-Tracy F. ↑,
53', Reed L. ↓, Hewitt E. ↑,
56', 5 - 0, Russell J. ⚽,
62', Marshall C. ↓, Wells N. ↑,
62', Donley J. ↓, Kodua G. ↑,
64', Kodua G. 🟨,
68', Russell J. ↓, McGoldrick D. ↑,
68', Smith M. ↓, Oates R. ↑,
77', Knoyle K. 🟨,
78', 5 - 1, Wells N. (Penalty Awarded),
85', Knoyle K. ↓, Bolton L. ↑,
90+2', 5 - 2, Wells N. ⚽,
90+4', Hendry R. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mansfield won 1.
Mansfield is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Luton has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Mansfield may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Mansfield has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Mansfield: Bolton L.
(Calf Injury)
Cargill B.
(Inactive)
McGoldrick D.
(Inactive)
Roberts T.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Luton: Baptiste S.
(Knee Injury)
Luker J.
(Injury)
Morris S.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Luton: Clark J.
(Injury)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Mansfield won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 1.2:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Mansfield won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:9. (average 1.3:1.5).
Outrights of English League One for now
Luton: 6.34% Mansfield: 1.24%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
13
Luton
8
3
2
3
16:15
1
11
14
Mansfield
8
3
2
3
12:14
-2
11
Last Results with these Odds
Mansfield Town - the odds 2.72 are the expected chance of winning is 34.31%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Luton Town - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 39.55%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
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Roberts L. (G) 
Sweeney R. (C) 
Moriah-Welsh N. 
Russell J. 
Hendry R. 
Donley J. 
Akins L. 
Hewitt E. 
Andersen M. 
Wells N. 
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