Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 2 July 2025, Wednesday


	Luzern		Neuchâtel Xamax

	1	X	2
	1.61	4.1	4
	1.6	4.25	4.45
	1.57	4.25	4.3
				Watch
	1.63	4.4	4.4	Watch
	1.6	4.25	4.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.62)	4.25 ↑ (4.1)	4.32 ↑ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luzern
57.2%

Draw
21.6%

Neuchâtel Xamax
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

22%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

20.9%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luzern has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Neuchâtel Xamax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luzern than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neuchâtel Xamax than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Luzern - Neuchâtel Xamax Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Xamax (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Xamax (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Xamax (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Loretz P. (G)
22. Dantas R.
20. Dorn P.
10. Karweina S.
5. Knezevic S.
24. Owusu T.
19. Vasovic A.
27. Villiger L.
68. Walker M.
29. Winkler L.
47. Zimmermann M.
Substitutes
. Britschgi S.
46. Freimann B. M.
. Frokaj L.
9. Grbic A.
16. Kadak J.
17. Klidje T.
2. Ottiger S.
4. Sadikaj E.
7. Spadanuda K.
90. Vasic V. (G)
. Wyss S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Neutral location.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luzern won 3.

Luzern has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Xamax is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Luzern may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Luzern is a strong favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Luzern won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Luzern won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Luzern
Swiss Super League
24.05.25	Basel - Luzern	4:0 ✺
18.05.25	Luzern - Servette	3:4 ✺
15.05.25	Young Boys - Luzern	2:1 ✺
11.05.25	Luzern - Lausanne-Sport	1:1 ✺
04.05.25	Luzern - Lugano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTL
- Neuchâtel Xamax
Club Friendly
28.06.25	Sion - Neuchâtel Xamax	2:0 ✺
Swiss Challenge League
23.05.25	Neuchâtel Xamax - Wil 1900	2:3 ✺
16.05.25	Stade Nyonnais - Neuchâtel Xamax	1:3 ✺
09.05.25	Neuchâtel Xamax - Étoile Carouge	1:2 ✺
03.05.25	Bellinzona - Neuchâtel Xamax	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
20.03.25	Luzern - Neuchâtel Xamax	3:1
Swiss Super League
19.07.20	Luzern - Neuchâtel Xamax	1:2
09.02.20	Neuchâtel Xamax - Luzern	0:1
26.10.19	Neuchâtel Xamax - Luzern	2:0
26.09.19	Luzern - Neuchâtel Xamax	1:0
13.04.19	Luzern - Neuchâtel Xamax	0:1
10.02.19	Neuchâtel Xamax - Luzern	2:1

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