Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 2

Date: 15 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Parc Olympique Lyonnais (Lyon) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	18:45	SuperSport 3
Argentina	13:45	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	20:45	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, Q Arena Asia, TOD
Australia	03:45	Stan Sport
Bolivia	12:45	ESPN 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:45	Arena Sport 3
Bulgaria	19:45	Ring, Voyo
Canada	12:45	DAZN Canada
Chile	13:45	ESPN 5
Colombia	11:45	ESPN 2
Croatia	18:45	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	18:45	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	18:45	Disney+
Ecuador	11:45	ESPN 2
Estonia	19:45	Go3 Extra Sports
Finland	19:45	Viaplay, V Sport Ultra
France	18:45	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 2
Georgia	20:45	Silk Sport 3
Germany	18:45	RTL+
Hong Kong	00:45	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Hungary	18:45	Selekt, Sport 2
Iceland	16:45	Viaplay
India	22:15	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1
Indonesia	23:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Italy	18:45	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255, Sky Sport MIX
Japan	01:45	Wowow Prime
Kenya	19:45	Gotv
Kosovo	18:45	Arena Premium 3
Laos	23:45	beIN Connect
Lithuania	19:45	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	00:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	21:45	Medianet
Malta	18:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	10:45	Claro Sports
Mongolia	00:45	Premier Sports 2
Netherlands	18:45	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 6
New Zealand	05:45	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	17:45	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North Macedonia	18:45	Arena Premium 3, TDM Desporto
Norway	18:45	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Paraguay	13:45	ESPN 2
Peru	11:45	Disney+, ESPN 2
Philippines	00:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	18:45	Polsat Sport Extra 1
Portugal	17:45	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Russia	19:45	Okko Sport
Serbia	18:45	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	00:45	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	18:45	Sport 1, Voyo
South Africa	18:45	SuperSport Grandstand
South America	—	ViX Latin America
South Korea	01:45	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime+
Spain	18:45	M+ Liga de Campeones 3, M+ Liga de Campeones 5, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	18:45	Disney+
Switzerland	18:45	Blue Sport 3, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	00:45	ELTA Sports 2
Thailand	23:45	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	19:45	Tabii
Ukraine	19:45	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	17:45	HBO Max, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	13:45	Disney+
Usa	12:45	CBS Sports Network, Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN
Venezuela	12:45	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter


	Lyon		Crystal Palace

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.5	2.45
	2.45	3.60	2.65
	2.65	3.5	2.65
	2.64	3.6	2.66
	2.73	3.69	2.54	Watch
	2.6	3.55	2.6
	2.79	3.55	2.49
	2.7	3.75	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.2)	3.59 ↓ (3.67)	2.57 ↓ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lyon
36%

Draw
26.7%

Crystal Palace
37.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.2%

25.9%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

25.7%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lyon's form might have worsened.

Crystal Palace has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Crystal Palace's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lyon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Crystal Palace, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	15%	35%

Lyon - Crystal Palace Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Lyon will win (votes: 10 - 50%). Crystal Palace will win (votes: 7 - 35%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lyon: 28.1% – 71.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Lyon (2.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.55) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

BTTS - yes (1.50) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lyon (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Greif D. (G) 13. Athekame Z. 20. Bacher F. 21. Kluivert R. 16. Abner Vinicius 23. Morton T. 99. Nartey N. 8. Tolisso C. (C) 18. Merah K. 7. Nuamah E. 11. Nakamura K.	44. Benitez W. (G) 26. Richards C. 5. Disasi A. 6. Canvot J. 30. Mingueza O. 20. Wharton A. (C) 23. Timber Q. 3. Mitchell T. 7. Sarr I. 10. Pino Y. 22. Larsen J.
Substitutes
25. Bengui J. (G) 2. Bidstrup M. 26. Boudache K. 40. Descamps R. (G) 24. Duranville J. 45. Himbert R. 85. Kamara N. 37. Kango S. 22. Mata C. 19. Niakhate M. 10. Sulc P. 6. Tessmann T.	21. Ahanor H. 54. Benamar D. 81. Benetton L. (G) 19. Hughes W. 18. Kamada D. 25. Khalaili A. 31. Matthews R. (G) 11. McNeil D. 9. Nketiah E. 24. Osorio D.
Coaches
Fonseca P.	Sage P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Tolisso C. ⚽,
36', Sarr I. 🟨,
45+2', 2 - 0, Nuamah E. ⚽, Nakamura K. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', 2 - 1, Pino Y. ⚽, Wharton A. (A),
56', Pino Y. 🟨,
58', Nakamura K. 🟨,
62', Sarr I. ↓, Kamada D. ↑,
62', Larsen J. ↓, Nketiah E. ↑,
70', Merah K. ↓, Sulc P. ↑,
70', Nuamah E. ↓, Boudache K. ↑,
75', Pino Y. ↓, Osorio D. ↑,
75', Mingueza O. ↓, Khalaili A. ↑,
76', 3 - 1, Sulc P. ⚽, Nakamura K. (A),
78', Nartey N. ↓, Tessmann T. ↑,
81', 3 - 2, Kamada D. ⚽,
82', Richards C. 🟨,
86', Timber Q. ↓, McNeil D. ↑,
90', Tolisso C. ↓, Bidstrup M. ↑,

Preview

Lyon has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Crystal Palace have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Crystal Palace may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Crystal Palace has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Lyon holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Lyon: Openda L. (Leg Injury) Ouedraogo M. (Knee Injury) Tagliafico N. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Crystal Palace: Doucoure C. (Off the roster) Gozo Z. (Off the roster) Guessand E. (Off the roster) Lerma J. (Off the roster) Riad C. (Knee Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Crystal Palace: Henderson D. (Foot Injury) Mateta J. (Hamstring Injury) Tomiyasu T. (Calf Injury).

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Lyon has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Lyon	3	2	0	1	5:6	-1	6
15	Crystal Palace	3	1	1	1	8:5	3	4

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Crystal Palace: 4.6% Lyon: 4.02%

Last Results with these Odds

Lyon - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 43.18%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympique Lyon
French Ligue 1
09.10.26	Lens - Lyon	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Lyon - Rennes	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
16.09.26	Anderlecht - Lyon	1:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
12.09.26	Paris FC - Lyon	0:0 ✺
04.09.26	Lyon - Auxerre	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWTW
- Crystal Palace
English Premier League
11.10.26	Crystal Palace - Nottingham Forest	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Crystal Palace - Bristol City	0:2 ✺
English Premier League
20.09.26	Leeds United - Crystal Palace	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.09.26	Crystal Palace - Lech Poznań	4:0 ✺
English Premier League
12.09.26	Crystal Palace - Ipswich Town	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
05.08.23	Crystal Palace - Lyon	2:0

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