Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 3

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday

Location: Parc Olympique Lyonnais (Lyon)

Referee: Buquet R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Austria	Laola1
Bolivia	ESPN 4
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5P
Brazil	Xsports
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Croatia	Arena Sport 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Ecuador	ESPN 4
Finland	Viaplay
France	Ligue 1+
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Laola1
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	FOX One, FOX Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Paraguay	ESPN 4
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 4
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	Nova Sport 2, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
Sweden	Viaplay
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Sport
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 4


	Lyon		Auxerre

	1	X	2
	1.42	5.00	6.50	Watch
	1.39	5.25	7.00
	1.34	5.00	8.00	Watch
	1.43	5.30	8.00
	1.44	4.84	6.92	Watch
	1.43	4.85	7.55
	1.44	5.13	7.02	Watch
	1.43	5.40	7.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.52)	5.1 ↑ (4.38)	7.25 ↑ (5.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lyon
67.9%

Draw
18.9%

Auxerre
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

21.6%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

21.2%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lyon's performance.

Auxerre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.8%	15.2%	0%

Lyon - Auxerre Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Lyon (1.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1 - Lyon (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lyon will win (39 of 46 users predict this - 84.78%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.4% – 95.16%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lyon will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Lyon (votes: 8 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Greif D. (G) 13. Athekame Z. 20. Bacher F. 19. Niakhate M. 16. Abner Vinicius 2. Bidstrup M. 23. Morton T. 7. Nuamah E. 8. Tolisso C. (C) 10. Sulc P. 17. Openda L.	23. Diop M. (G) 27. Sy L. 15. Makosso C. 35. Legros E. 92. Akpa C. 8. Ahamada N. 46. Piedfort A. 5. Danois K. (C) 10. Namaso D. 9. Archer C. 3. Labeau Lascary R.
Substitutes
26. Boudache K. 40. Descamps R. (G) 45. Himbert R. 21. Kluivert R. 22. Mata C. 18. Merah K. 99. Nartey N. 3. Tagliafico N. 6. Tessmann T.	7. Casimir J. 36. Devernois T. 20. Diomande S. 34. Dioubate L. 17. Ekwah P. 21. Faivre R. 32. Mandengue R. 1. Nardi P. (G) 77. Zossou A.
Coaches
Fonseca P.	Still W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
26', Piedfort A. 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Bacher F. ⚽, Nuamah E. (A),
31', 2 - 0, Athekame Z. ⚽, Openda L. (A),
42', 2 - 1, Archer C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 3 - 1, Nuamah E. ⚽, Sulc P. (A),
62', Bacher F. 🟨,
66', Legros E. ↓, Mandengue R. ↑,
66', Ahamada N. ↓, Ekwah P. ↑,
66', Labeau Lascary R. ↓, Zossou A. ↑,
67', Nuamah E. ↓, Boudache K. ↑,
67', Sulc P. ↓, Merah K. ↑,
68', Mandengue R. 🟨,
76', Bidstrup M. ↓, Tessmann T. ↑,
77', Morton T. 🟨,
77', Archer C. ↓, Faivre R. ↑,
86', Morton T. ↓, Nartey N. ↑,
86', Bacher F. ↓, Kluivert R. ↑,
90+3', Sy L. ↓, Dioubate L. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Lyon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Lyon is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Lyon: Duranville J. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Auxerre: Diousse A. (Knee Injury) Fofana S. (Groin Injury) Okoh B. (Knee Injury) Senaya M. (Injury) Sierralta F. (Injury) Tuanzebe A. (Lacking Match Fitness)

There are questionable in Auxerre: Oppegard F. (Illness)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:9. (average 1.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Lyon won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 2.3:1.5).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Lyon: 4.01% Auxerre: 0.23%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10:2	8	11
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7:12	-5	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympique Lyon
French Ligue 1
29.08.26	Lyon - Le Havre	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.08.26	Lyon - Fenerbahçe	1:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
22.08.26	Toulouse - Lyon	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
18.08.26	Fenerbahçe - Lyon	1:1 ✺
11.08.26	Lyon - Sparta Prague	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TLWTW
- AJ Auxerre
French Ligue 1
29.08.26	Auxerre - Angers	1:3 ✺
22.08.26	Lens - Auxerre	5:2 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Werder Bremen - Auxerre	0:1 ✺
25.07.26	Auxerre - Orleans	1:2 ✺
18.07.26	Auxerre - Lusitanos Saint-Maur	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
25.04.26	Lyon - Auxerre	3:2
23.11.25	Auxerre - Lyon	0:0
13.04.25	Auxerre - Lyon	1:3
27.10.24	Lyon - Auxerre	2:2
17.02.23	Auxerre - Lyon	2:1
31.08.22	Lyon - Auxerre	2:1
07.04.12	Lyon - Auxerre	2:1

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