Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 11

Date: 10 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Parc Olympique Lyonnais (Lyon)

Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Asia	beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1, Pickx+ Sports 1, Pickx+ Sports 1, VOOsport World 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4, Arena Sport 5, Moja TV
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
China	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
France	DAZN 1, DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	SKAI
India	GXR World
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1, ART Motion Sport 2, ART Sport 2
Mexico	Caliente TV
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV5
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Russia	Okko Sport
Slovakia	Voyo
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	beIN Sports
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4
United-kingdom	Ligue 1 Pass
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
World	Disney+, Fanatiz, Setanta Sports 2 Eurasia


	Lyon		Saint-Étienne

	1	X	2
	1.3	5.5	8	Watch
	1.33	5.75	8
	1.32	5.45	8.9
	1.34	5.8	8.66
	1.36	5.73	8.11	Watch
	1.3	5.5	9
	1.34	6.21	9.2	Watch
	1.32	5.45	8.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↑ (1.31)	5.67 ↓ (5.87)	8.6 ↓ (8.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS

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Current Win Probability

Lyon
72%

Draw
16.8%

Saint-Étienne
11.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.9%

16.2%

10.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8%

16.7%

11.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Saint-Étienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.8%	6.5%	8.7%

Lyon - Saint Étienne Predictions

Users Predictions: Lyon will win (38 of 45 users predict this - 84.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.85% – 95.03%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Lucas Perri (G) 98. Maitland-Niles A. 55. Caleta-Car D. 19. Niakhate M. 3. Tagliafico N. 31. Matic N. 7. Veretout J. 8. Tolisso C. 18. Cherki R. 10. Lacazette A. (C) 11. Fofana M.	30. Larsonneur G. (C) 27. Macon Y. 21. Batubinsika D. 3. Nade M. 19. Petrot L. 4. Ekwah P. 20. Boakye A. 6. Bouchouari B. 14. Mouton L. 22. Davitashvili Z. 32. Stassin L.
Substitutes
16. Abner 6. Caqueret M. 22. Clinton Mata 40. Descamps R. (G) 69. Mikautadze G. 37. Nuamah E. 27. Omari W. 15. Tessmann T. 12. Zaha W.	5. Abdelhamid Y. 37. Amougou M. 8. Appiah D. 17. Cornud P. 1. Maubleu B. (G) 29. Moueffek A. 9. Sissoko I. 10. Tardieu F. 25. Wadji I.
Coaches
Sage P.	Dall'Oglio O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Lacazette A. ⚽, Tolisso C. (A),
34', Stassin L. 🟨,
35', Boakye A. 🟨,
40', Caleta-Car D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Stassin L. ↓, Sissoko I. ↑,
65', Veretout J. ↓, Nuamah E. ↑,
65', Matic N. ↓, Tessmann T. ↑,
77', Boakye A. ↓, Wadji I. ↑,
78', Macon Y. ↓, Appiah D. ↑,
78', Mouton L. ↓, Moueffek A. ↑,
79', Lacazette A. ↓, Mikautadze G. ↑,
79', Cherki R. ↓, Clinton Mata ↑,
86', Fofana M. 🟨,
86', Fofana M. ↓, Zaha W. ↑,
87', Bouchouari B. ↓, Amougou M. ↑,
90+5', Lucas Perri 🟨,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lyon won 4.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Saint-Étienne could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Lyon is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Lyon: Matic N. (Injury) Nuamah E. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Briancon A. (Knee Injury) Cafaro M. (Yellow Cards) Monconduit T. (Thigh Injury) Old B. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Saint-Étienne: Cornud P. (Muscle Injury) Wadji I. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Lyon won 11 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 32:17 (average 1.6:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Lyon won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16:7 (average 1.6:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympique Lyon
UEFA Europa League
07.11.24	Hoffenheim - Lyon	2:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
01.11.24	Lille - Lyon	1:1 ✺
27.10.24	Lyon - Auxerre	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.10.24	Lyon - Beşiktaş	0:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
20.10.24	Le Havre - Lyon	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TTTLW
- AS Saint-Étienne
French Ligue 1
02.11.24	Saint-Étienne - Strasbourg	2:0 ✺
26.10.24	Angers - Saint-Étienne	4:2 ✺
19.10.24	Saint-Étienne - Lens	0:2 ✺
05.10.24	Saint-Étienne - Auxerre	3:1 ✺
29.09.24	Nantes - Saint-Étienne	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
21.01.22	Lyon - Saint-Étienne	1:0
03.10.21	Saint-Étienne - Lyon	1:1
24.01.21	Saint-Étienne - Lyon	0:5
08.11.20	Lyon - Saint-Étienne	2:1
01.03.20	Lyon - Saint-Étienne	2:0
06.10.19	Saint-Étienne - Lyon	1:0
20.01.19	Saint-Étienne - Lyon	1:2

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