Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 37

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio La Rosaleda (Málaga)

Referee: Muniz C. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DSports 6
Australia	beIN Connect
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DSports 6
Finland	MTV Max
France	beIN Sports MAX 6
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Sports 2
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Singapore	beIN Sports 2
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	DSports 6


	Málaga		Castellón

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.1	2.65	Watch
	2.55	3.1	2.55
	2.58	3.3	2.58
	2.79	3.43	2.66
	2.72	3.33	2.58	Watch
	2.63	3.2	2.5
	2.77	3.36	2.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.53)	3.26 ↓ (3.47)	2.59 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Málaga
35.1%

Draw
28.7%

Castellón
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

27.2%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

27.9%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	25%	41.7%

Málaga - Castellón Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Málaga will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Castellón will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Castellón: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Málaga (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Herrero A. (C) 3. Puga C. 16. Murillo D. 4. Galilea E. 31. Rafita 11. Munoz J. 12. Dotor C. 23. Merino I. 35. Ochoa A. 21. Nino A. 9. Chupe	13. Matthys R. (G) 22. Mellot J. (C) 3. Brignani F. 4. Sienra A. 12. Alcazar L. 18. Santiago P. 21. Calatrava A. 8. Barri 19. Jakobsen A. 9. Camara O. 16. Cipenga B.
Substitutes
7. Abaida H. 26. Arriaza P. 5. Brasanac D. 30. Cespedes A. (G) 2. Gabilondo J. 14. Garcia V. 17. Jauregi E. 24. Lobete J. 13. Lopez C. (G) 20. Montero J. 36. Recio A. 18. Sanchez D.	1. Abedzadeh A. (G) 11. Aurelio D. 29. De Nipoti T. 6. Doue M. 23. Garcia A. 7. Mabil A. 25. Ronaldo 17. Ruiz S. 14. Sanchez R. 10. Suero I. 2. Tincho 55. Willman M.
Coaches
Funes J.	Hernandez P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Chupe (Penalty Awarded),
24', Dotor C. 🟨,
27', 1 - 1, Calatrava A. ⚽, Cipenga B. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Camara O. ↓, Ronaldo ↑,
56', Sienra A. 🟨,
67', Santiago P. ↓, Mabil A. ↑,
68', 1 - 2, Calatrava A. ⚽, Cipenga B. (A),
69', Nino A. ↓, Lobete J. ↑,
72', Ronaldo 🟨,
75', Lobete J. 🟨,
77', 1 - 3, Calatrava A. ⚽, Ronaldo (A),
78', Munoz J. ↓, Abaida H. ↑,
79', Ochoa A. ↓, Jauregi E. ↑,
79', Jakobsen A. ↓, Sanchez R. ↑,
85', 2 - 3, Chupe ⚽, Dotor C. (A),
86', Cipenga B. ↓, Tincho ↑,
86', Sienra A. ↓, Ruiz S. ↑,
90+3', Tincho 🟨,
90+6', Brignani F. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 1.

Málaga has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Castellón is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Málaga: Enriquez R. (Red Card) Juanpe (Injury) Larrubia D. (Foot Injury) Lorenzo D. (Knee Injury) Luismi (Face Injury) Pastor A. (Knee Injury) Rodriguez R. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D. (Knee Injury) Gerenabarrena B. (Yellow Cards) Jimenez A. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Castellón: Camara O. (Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Málaga won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Castellon	8	6	2	0	15:3	12	20

Last Results with these Odds

Málaga - the odds 2.53 are the expected chance of winning is 37.2%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Málaga CF
Spanish LaLiga2
19.04.26	Almería - Málaga	3:2 ✺
11.04.26	Málaga - Las Palmas	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Málaga	1:1 ✺
01.04.26	FC Andorra - Málaga	3:3 ✺
28.03.26	Málaga - Leganés	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWTTT
- CD Castellón
Spanish LaLiga2
18.04.26	Castellón - Burgos	3:1 ✺
12.04.26	Mirandés - Castellón	2:2 ✺
06.04.26	Castellón - Granada	3:2 ✺
02.04.26	Castellón - Almería	2:0 ✺
28.03.26	Albacete Balompié - Castellón	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
02.11.25	Castellón - Málaga	2:1
27.04.25	Málaga - Castellón	1:0
01.12.24	Castellón - Málaga	2:0
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
21.01.24	Málaga - Castellón	0:1
26.08.23	Castellón - Málaga	2:1
Spanish LaLiga2
30.05.21	Málaga - Castellón	3:0
19.09.20	Castellón - Málaga	0:1

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