Match Info

LaLiga2 - Promotion - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 10 June 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio La Rosaleda (Málaga)

Referee: Sanchez R. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Australia	beIN Sports 2
Bolivia	ESPN 2
Brazil	ESPN 4
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport 1
Cyprus	Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	ESPN 2
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	beIN Sports MAX 4
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Paraguay	ESPN 2
Peru	ESPN 2
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Slovakia	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2, Orange Futbol 2
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Usa	ESPN Deportes
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 2


	Málaga		Las Palmas

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.4	3.75	Watch
	2.05	3.10	3.40
	1.98	3.25	3.65	Watch
	2.05	3.45	4.04
	1.94	3.5	3.97	Watch
	2	3.25	3.6
	1.97	3.43	3.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.1)	3.34 ↓ (3.41)	3.77 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Málaga
47.1%

Draw
28.1%

Las Palmas
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

27.4%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

26.6%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Las Palmas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72%	16%	12%

Málaga - Las Palmas Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Málaga will win (votes: 17 - 73.9%). Las Palmas will win (votes: 3 - 13%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Málaga: 56% – 91.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Herrero A. (C) 3. Puga C. 16. Murillo D. 20. Montero J. 31. Rafita 10. Larrubia D. 23. Merino I. 22. Lorenzo D. 11. Munoz J. 12. Dotor C. 9. Chupe	1. Horkas D. (G) 2. Marvin 4. Alex Suarez 3. Marmol M. 5. Clemente E. 18. Miyashiro T. 16. Amatucci L. 20. Rodriguez K. 39. Pedrola E. 10. Jese 21. Viera J. (C)
Substitutes
5. Brasanac D. 6. Enriquez R. 2. Gabilondo J. 14. Garcia V. 17. Jauregi E. 24. Lobete J. 13. Lopez C. (G) 21. Nino A. 35. Ochoa A. 36. Recio A. 37. Rodriguez R. 18. Sanchez D.	7. Benedetti N. 49. Bravo I. 13. Caro J. (G) 14. Fuster M. 8. Gil I. 26. Gonzalez I. 23. Gutierrez C. 15. Herzog J. 38. Medina I. 24. Pejino 27. Pezzolesi V. 35. Suarez A. (G)
Coaches
Funes J.	Garcia L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Jese ⚽, Marvin (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Jese 🟨,
61', Viera J. ↓, Fuster M. ↑,
61', Jese ↓, Bravo I. ↑,
67', Merino I. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
67', Lorenzo D. ↓, Nino A. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Munoz J. ⚽,
72', Pedrola E. ↓, Pejino ↑,
72', Marvin ↓, Pezzolesi V. ↑,
75', Chupe ↓, Enriquez R. ↑,
86', Amatucci L. ↓, Medina I. ↑,
87', Dotor C. ↓, Brasanac D. ↑,
87', Munoz J. ↓, Ochoa A. ↑,
87', Herrero A. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 1-0.

Málaga is Qualified for LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs Semi~finals)

Las Palmas is Qualified for LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs Semi~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 3.

Málaga is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Las Palmas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Málaga is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Málaga: Juanpe (Muscle Injury) Luismi (Face Injury) Pastor A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Las Palmas: Garcia A. (Thigh Injury) Loiodice E. (Ankle Injury) Ramirez S. (Injury) Recoba J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Málaga: Dorrio J. (Muscle Injury) Galilea E. (Injury)

There are questionable in Las Palmas: Sergio Barcia (Muscle Injury) Viti (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:23. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Málaga won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.3:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Las Palmas	8	3	2	3	12:13	-1	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Málaga CF
Spanish LaLiga2
07.06.26	Las Palmas - Málaga	0:1 ✺
31.05.26	Zaragoza - Málaga	0:2 ✺
24.05.26	Málaga - Racing Santander	1:1 ✺
16.05.26	Ceuta - Málaga	1:4 ✺
09.05.26	Málaga - Sporting de Gijón	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WWTWW
- UD Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga2
07.06.26	Las Palmas - Málaga	0:1 ✺
31.05.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Las Palmas	1:2 ✺
24.05.26	Las Palmas - Zaragoza	1:1 ✺
16.05.26	Almería - Las Palmas	1:2 ✺
10.05.26	FC Andorra - Las Palmas	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
07.06.26	Las Palmas - Málaga	0:1
11.04.26	Málaga - Las Palmas	2:0
31.08.25	Las Palmas - Málaga	0:1
11.03.23	Las Palmas - Málaga	2:2
22.08.22	Málaga - Las Palmas	0:4
29.04.22	Las Palmas - Málaga	2:1
20.11.21	Málaga - Las Palmas	2:1

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