Match Info

I Liqa - Round 4

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday


	MOIK Baku		Mingachevir

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.85	4.5
	1.59	4.21	4.23
	1.7	3.83	3.99	Watch
	1.56	3.9	4.4
	1.51	3.85	5.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (2.89)	3.93 ↑ (3.5)	4.49 ↑ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MOIK Baku
57%

Draw
22.9%

Mingachevir
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

26.2%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MOIK Baku has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+25.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in MOIK Baku's performance.

Mingachevir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mingachevir might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

MOIK Baku - Mingachevir Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. MOIK will win (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
47', 1 - 0, Muxtarli C. ⚽,
58', 2 - 0, Ismayilov B. ⚽,
80', 3 - 0, Mursalov A. (Own goal),

Preview

Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 5th and 8th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MOIK won 0.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, MOIK has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:15 (averaging 1.2:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for MOIK against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 8:9 goals (averaging 1.6:1.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	MOIK Baku	4	2	1	1	6:2	4	7
9	Mingachevir	4	0	1	3	3:10	-7	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MOIK Baku
Azerbaijan First Division
18.09.26	Xankəndi - MOIK Baku	0:2 ✺
11.09.26	MOIK Baku - Shimal	1:1 ✺
03.09.26	MOIK Baku - Shahdag Qusar	0:1 ✺
21.05.26	MOIK Baku - Difai Ağsu	4:0 ✺
15.05.26	Mingachevir - MOIK Baku	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTLWL
- Mingachevir FK
Azerbaijan First Division
17.09.26	Mingachevir - Gəncəbasar	0:3 ✺
10.09.26	Səbail - Mingachevir	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Mingachevir - Zagatala	2:2 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
28.05.26	Gabala - Mingachevir	2:0 ✺
Azerbaijan First Division
22.05.26	Mingachevir - Səbail	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan First Division
15.05.26	Mingachevir - MOIK Baku	3:1
25.02.26	Mingachevir - MOIK Baku	2:0
20.11.25	MOIK Baku - Mingachevir	0:3
16.05.25	MOIK Baku - Mingachevir	1:3
14.03.25	Mingachevir - MOIK Baku	1:0
13.09.24	MOIK Baku - Mingachevir	1:2
17.04.24	MOIK Baku - Mingachevir	3:1

MOIK Baku - Mingachevir: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide