Match Info

Date: 10 October 2020, Saturday


	MVV Maastricht		Go Ahead Eagles

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.75	2.05	Watch
	3	3.6	2
	3	3.55	2.16	Watch
	3.1	3.45	2.08
	3.27	3.76	2.19
	3.1	3.3	2.05	Watch
	3.14	3.7	2.17	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (3.05)	3.59 ↓ (3.63)	2.1 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MVV Maastricht
29.8%

Draw
25.9%

Go Ahead Eagles
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

25.6%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

19.5%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MVV Maastricht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Go Ahead Eagles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with MVV Maastricht that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Go Ahead Eagles than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Go Ahead Eagles could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

MVV Maastricht - Go Ahead Eagles Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 17).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Maastricht could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Go Ahead will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Maastricht won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Maastricht won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MVV Maastricht
Dutch Eerste Divisie
02.10.20	Jong AZ Alkmaar - MVV Maastricht	3:3 ✺
25.09.20	MVV Maastricht - FC Oss	3:0 ✺
22.09.20	Den Bosch - MVV Maastricht	2:0 ✺
13.09.20	Telstar - MVV Maastricht	1:2 ✺
05.09.20	MVV Maastricht - Cambuur	1:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 TWLWL
- Go Ahead Eagles
Dutch Eerste Divisie
02.10.20	Go Ahead Eagles - Jong Utrecht	2:3 ✺
27.09.20	Volendam - Go Ahead Eagles	0:0 ✺
18.09.20	Go Ahead Eagles - Jong Ajax	0:3 ✺
11.09.20	Cambuur - Go Ahead Eagles	0:2 ✺
30.08.20	Dordrecht - Go Ahead Eagles	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
16.02.20	MVV Maastricht - Go Ahead Eagles	3:0
09.08.19	Go Ahead Eagles - MVV Maastricht	3:2
01.03.19	Go Ahead Eagles - MVV Maastricht	2:0
31.08.18	MVV Maastricht - Go Ahead Eagles	1:2
19.01.18	Go Ahead Eagles - MVV Maastricht	3:1
18.08.17	MVV Maastricht - Go Ahead Eagles	4:3
11.03.16	Go Ahead Eagles - MVV Maastricht	0:0

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