Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 38

Date: 24 April 2026, Friday

Location: De Geusselt (Maastricht)

Referee: Wiersma W. (Ned)


	MVV Maastricht		FC Oss

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.8	2.4
	2.45	3.6	2.45
	2.58	3.7	2.42
	2.61	3.7	2.47
	2.69	3.28	2.58	Watch
	2.5	3.5	2.45
	2.55	3.58	2.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.54)	3.59 ↑ (3.44)	2.46 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

MVV Maastricht
36.4%

Draw
25.9%

FC Oss
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

27.2%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

27.5%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MVV Maastricht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

FC Oss has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Oss than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

MVV Maastricht - FC Oss Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 6.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Westerveld S. (G) 22. Breugelmans I. 3. Dicke F. 4. Coomans W. 32. Tran L. M. 21. Asante D. 8. Van Dessel S. 15. Beydts A. 10. Silva Timas I. 9. Braken S. (C) 19. Pawirodihardjo J.	1. Havekotte M. (C) 3. Pata I. 2. Miguel L. 23. Vianello D. 20. Van Hove B. 28. Mol L. 6. van Rooijen M. 11. Remans M. 7. Slagveer L. 9. Wildeboer T. 17. Hinoke M.
Substitutes
28. Amgar A. 35. Curto L. 29. de Jong T. 2. Francis S. 40. Geerinck R. (G) 17. Kassimi A. 38. Klaasen R. 14. Kuipers M. 39. Sy K. 23. van der Heijden S. (G) 11. Verheijen T. 24. Zaian A.	27. de Lannoy M. 33. de Wit K. 99. Doucoure S. 22. Erkan M. 26. Kuijpers J. 19. Marhoum Y. 14. Mariani M. 12. Milder S. (G) 18. Pinto N. 16. Remie D. (G) 24. Turay F. 5. van de Wiel M.
Coaches
van den Berg P.	Ultee S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Havekotte M. ↓, Remie D. ↑,
19', Breugelmans I. ↓, Zaian A. ↑,
24', Zaian A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
47', Van Hove B. 🟨,
50', Mol L. 🟨,
58', Asante D. ↓, Kassimi A. ↑,
59', van Rooijen M. ↓, Mariani M. ↑,
59', Mol L. ↓, de Lannoy M. ↑,
59', Wildeboer T. ↓, Doucoure S. ↑,
59', Pawirodihardjo J. ↓, Verheijen T. ↑,
60', Pata I. 🟨,
70', 0 - 1, Doucoure S. ⚽,
74', Doucoure S. 🟨,
78', Van Dessel S. ↓, Klaasen R. ↑,
78', Beydts A. ↓, de Jong T. ↑,
83', 0 - 2, Slagveer L. ⚽,
87', Braken S. 🟨,
89', Hinoke M. ↓, Pinto N. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 2.

Recent form of Maastricht has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Oss is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Oss: Cox T. (Broken Leg)

There are questionable in Maastricht: Tehubijuluw D. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 37:18. (average 1.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Maastricht won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 26:9. (average 2.4:0.8).

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

Maastricht: 1.24%

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Maastricht	10	5	1	4	13:20	-7	16
13	Oss	10	4	0	6	15:15	0	12

Last Results with these Odds

FC Oss - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 36.07%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MVV Maastricht
Dutch Eerste Divisie
17.04.26	Vitesse - MVV Maastricht	0:0 ✺
10.04.26	MVV Maastricht - Helmond Sport	0:0 ✺
06.04.26	Emmen - MVV Maastricht	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	MVV Maastricht - Waalwijk	1:3 ✺
22.03.26	MVV Maastricht - Willem II	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TTLLL
- FC Oss
Dutch Eerste Divisie
17.04.26	FC Oss - Den Bosch	4:2 ✺
13.04.26	Jong Ajax - FC Oss	1:2 ✺
06.04.26	FC Oss - Jong Utrecht	3:1 ✺
03.04.26	Almere City - FC Oss	3:2 ✺
20.03.26	FC Oss - FC Eindhoven	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
08.08.25	FC Oss - MVV Maastricht	4:0
10.01.25	FC Oss - MVV Maastricht	1:0
27.09.24	MVV Maastricht - FC Oss	2:2
22.12.23	MVV Maastricht - FC Oss	2:0
10.11.23	FC Oss - MVV Maastricht	0:1
10.02.23	MVV Maastricht - FC Oss	5:1
07.10.22	FC Oss - MVV Maastricht	0:1

Upcoming Matches