The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
MVV Maastricht 34.2%
Draw 23.5%
Jong PSV 42.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.2%
24.8%
34.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.3%
26.7%
31.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
MVV Maastricht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that MVV Maastricht's form might have worsened.
Jong PSV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jong PSV's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for MVV Maastricht, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong PSV than the current prediction. (-10.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jong PSV, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
22.2%
22.2%
55.6%
MVV Maastricht - Jong PSV Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Maastricht will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Jong PSV will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Jong PSV: 23.1% – 88.1%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Maastricht (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH 0 - Jong PSV (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Maastricht (votes: 1 - 50%). Jong PSV (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Westerveld S. (G) 39. Sy K. 22. Breugelmans I. 4. Coomans W. 26. van Kempen M. 31. Kleinen M. 8. Van Dessel S. 21. Asante D. 6. El Basri N. 10. Silva Timas I. 9. Braken S. (C)
1. Smolenaars T. (G) 2. Bassey E. 3. Merien F. (C) 4. Monamay M. 5. van de Riet R. 7. Verkooijen N. 6. Sidibe S. 8. van den Berg J. 11. Bouhamdi A. 10. Koller J. 9. Jones A.
Substitutes
28. Amgar A. 29. de Jong T. 2. Francis S. 40. Geerinck R. (G) 18. Jashari L. 17. Kassimi A. 38. Klaasen R. 14. Kuipers M. 37. Mansala Mpudi A. 32. Tran L. M. 23. van der Heijden S. (G) 24. Zaian A.
17. Bahaty M. 19. Bouhoudane S. 15. Kuhn W. 16. Ngom K. (G) 18. Raap Y. 14. van der Plas S.
Coaches
van den Berg P.
Schaars S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Jones A. ⚽, Bassey E. (A),
17', 1 - 1, Asante D. ⚽, Braken S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Koller J. ↓, van der Plas S. ↑,
49', Verkooijen N. 🟨,
57', 2 - 1, El Basri N. ⚽, Van Dessel S. (A),
73', Bassey E. ↓, Bahaty M. ↑,
73', Bouhamdi A. ↓, Bouhoudane S. ↑,
73', Monamay M. ↓, Kuhn W. ↑,
77', El Basri N. ↓, Jashari L. ↑,
86', van den Berg J. ↓, Raap Y. ↑,
89', Silva Timas I. ↓, Kassimi A. ↑,
89', Braken S. ↓, de Jong T. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 2.
Maastricht has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Jong PSV is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Maastricht may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 5 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:33. (average 1.6:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Maastricht won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:16. (average 2:1.8).
Netherlands
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Westerveld S. (G) 
Sy K. 
El Basri N. 
Silva Timas I. 
Sidibe S. 
Jashari L. 
Raap Y. 
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