Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 24

Date: 26 January 2026, Monday

Location: De Herdgang (Eindhoven)

Referee: Puts K. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN Extra


	Jong PSV		Helmond Sport

	1	X	2
	2.1	4.1	2.85	Watch
	2.12	3.95	2.92
	2.19	3.95	2.98
	2.15	3.95	2.9	Watch
	2.15	3.6	2.88
	2.16	3.76	2.9	Watch
	2.2	3.66	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.09)	3.85 ↓ (3.98)	2.89 ↓ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jong PSV
43.4%

Draw
24.3%

Helmond Sport
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

23.5%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

22.6%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jong PSV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Helmond Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong PSV than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	9.1%	9.1%

Jong PSV - Helmond Sport Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Jong PSV (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Helmond Sport (1.85) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Jong PSV will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Jong PSV (votes: 2 - 50%). Helmond Sport (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Ngom K. (G) 2. Bassey E. 4. Merien F. 14. Monamay M. 5. Kuhn W. 6. Sidibe S. 35. van den Berg J. 11. Kluit F. 50. Verkooijen N. 10. Bouhamdi A. 9. van Duiven R.	1. Bergsen M. (G) 5. Poll T. 4. Koglin B. 3. Van Den Eynden F. 2. Ogenia J. 34. Essakkati T. 47. Geerts D. 22. Dizdarevic A. 36. Leipold A. 16. Lukowicz M. 19. Ingason H.
Substitutes
7. Bahaty M. 17. Beerens J. 19. Jones A. . Kuijsten S. (G) 20. Mulders B. 18. Raap Y. 15. van de Riet R. 21. Waayers E.	23. Aben K. (G) 27. Absalem A. 9. Bajrami L. 41. Geerts J. 6. Ludwig M. 26. Makanza N. 17. Semic L. 28. Vos D. 21. Wentges H. (G) 29. Zimuangana O.
Coaches
Schaars S.	Seegers J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Kluit F. ⚽,
6', 2 - 0, Merien F. ⚽,
29', Leipold A. ↓, Zimuangana O. ↑,
29', Ingason H. ↓, Makanza N. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', Koglin B. 🟨,
61', Verkooijen N. ↓, Bahaty M. ↑,
66', Geerts D. ↓, Bajrami L. ↑,
71', Van Den Eynden F. 🟨,
75', 3 - 0, Sidibe S. ⚽,
79', Kluit F. ↓, Raap Y. ↑,
80', Bassey E. ↓, Waayers E. ↑,
83', Lukowicz M. ↓, Geerts J. ↑,
84', Poll T. ↓, Absalem A. ↑,
86', 4 - 0, Bahaty M. ⚽, Kuhn W. (A),
87', van Duiven R. ↓, Jones A. ↑,
87', Kuhn W. ↓, van de Riet R. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong PSV won 2.

In recent matches, Jong PSV has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Helmond Sport has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Helmond Sport may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Jong PSV has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Jong PSV: Olij N. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Helmond Sport: Llonch P. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jong PSV won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 36:28. (average 1.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Jong PSV won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:10. (average 2.3:1.1).

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

Jong PSV: 0.59%

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Jong PSV	10	3	4	3	15:17	-2	13
17	Helmond	10	2	3	5	16:19	-3	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jong PSV
English Premier League International Cup
22.01.26	Southampton U21 - Jong PSV	1:3 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
19.01.26	Jong Utrecht - Jong PSV	5:3 ✺
19.12.25	ADO Den Haag - Jong PSV	1:2 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
15.12.25	Everton U21 - Jong PSV	3:2 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
12.12.25	Jong PSV - Almere City	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.2 WLWLL
- Helmond Sport
Dutch Eerste Divisie
16.01.26	Helmond Sport - Vitesse	2:2 ✺
21.12.25	Helmond Sport - Willem II	2:2 ✺
12.12.25	Emmen - Helmond Sport	4:1 ✺
05.12.25	Helmond Sport - MVV Maastricht	2:4 ✺
28.11.25	Cambuur - Helmond Sport	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
08.11.25	Helmond Sport - Jong PSV	2:3
14.03.25	Helmond Sport - Jong PSV	1:1
30.09.24	Jong PSV - Helmond Sport	1:3
19.01.24	Helmond Sport - Jong PSV	2:2
28.08.23	Jong PSV - Helmond Sport	2:1
10.03.23	Helmond Sport - Jong PSV	3:0
24.10.22	Jong PSV - Helmond Sport	6:0

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