The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Jong Utrecht 54.9%
Draw 21.5%
Jong PSV 23.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.7%
22.6%
34.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44%
21.9%
33.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong Utrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jong Utrecht's performance.
Jong PSV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jong PSV might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong Utrecht than the current prediction. (-10.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jong Utrecht that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong PSV than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jong PSV could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
78.3%
4.3%
17.4%
Jong Utrecht - Jong PSV Predictions
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Jong Utrecht will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). Jong PSV will win (votes: 4 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Jong Utrecht: 59.8% – 94.8%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jong Utrecht will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gadellaa K. (G) 2. van der Wegen S. 14. Kooy W. (C) 3. Viereck N. 5. Kloosterboer P. 8. van Ommeren J. 6. Iqbal Z. 7. Menzo B. 10. Agougil O. 11. Jensen M. 9. den Boggende T.
51. Smolenaars T. (G) 2. Bassey E. 3. van der Plas S. 4. Merien F. 5. Kuhn W. 8. van den Berg J. 6. Sidibe S. 11. Kluit F. 7. Bahaty M. 10. Bouhamdi A. 9. Bouhoudane S.
Substitutes
17. Arcos G. 16. Dundas N. 19. Ebite S. 20. El Arguioui R. 31. Eppink M. (G) 32. Eversen J. (G) 12. Ghaddari M. 15. Plantinga V. 18. Sneijder J. 13. van den Boogaard B.
17. Beerens J. 19. Jones A. 16. Kuijsten S. (G) 14. Monamay M. 20. Mulders B. 18. Raap Y. 15. van de Riet R. 21. Waayers E.
Coaches
Otten M.
Schaars S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 3)
9', van Ommeren J. 🟨,
9', 0 - 1, Bouhoudane S. (Penalty Awarded),
9', Iqbal Z. ↓, El Arguioui R. ↑,
11', 0 - 2, Bouhamdi A. ⚽, Kuhn W. (A),
13', Kloosterboer P. 🟨,
18', 1 - 2, El Arguioui R. ⚽, Menzo B. (A),
28', 2 - 2, Viereck N. ⚽, Agougil O. (A),
30', 2 - 3, van den Berg J. ⚽, Bahaty M. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', van Ommeren J. ↓, Ghaddari M. ↑,
46', Bouhamdi A. ↓, Monamay M. ↑,
52', van der Plas S. 🟨,
57', 3 - 3, Menzo B. ⚽,
62', van den Berg J. ↓, Waayers E. ↑,
62', Bassey E. ↓, Mulders B. ↑,
67', Menzo B. ↓, Plantinga V. ↑,
67', El Arguioui R. ↓, Ebite S. ↑,
68', 4 - 3, Plantinga V. ⚽,
71', Kuhn W. 🟨,
71', Bouhoudane S. ↓, Jones A. ↑,
80', den Boggende T. ↓, Dundas N. ↑,
81', Bahaty M. 🟨,
83', Sidibe S. ↓, Beerens J. ↑,
88', Kooy W. 🟨,
90', Dundas N. 🟨,
90+2', 5 - 3, Ghaddari M. ⚽,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong Utrecht won 0.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Jong PSV may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Jong Utrecht is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Jong PSV: Olij N.
(Groin Injury)
There are questionable in Jong Utrecht: Iqbal Z.
(Inactive)
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Jong Utrecht won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 19:36. (average 1.1:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Jong Utrecht won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:18. (average 1.1:2).