Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 21

Date: 19 December 2025, Friday

Location: Kooi Stadion (Leeuwarden)

Referee: Teuben S. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2


	Cambuur		MVV Maastricht

	1	X	2
	1.22	6.5	9	Watch
	1.24	6.4	9.8
	1.24	6.92	10.01
	1.23	6.6	10.01	Watch
	1.22	6	9.5
	1.23	6.1	10.1	Watch
	1.22	6.33	9.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.32)	6.41 ↑ (5.69)	9.7 ↑ (7.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cambuur
75.9%

Draw
14.5%

MVV Maastricht
9.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.9%

16.4%

12.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.7%

15.8%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cambuur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

MVV Maastricht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambuur than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Cambuur - MVV Maastricht Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Maastricht (3.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Cambuur will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Maastricht (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jansen T. (G) 16. Mulders R. 4. Baouf I. 6. Amofa J. 22. Galvez T. 18. Rolke T. 8. Souren N. 10. Diemers M. (C) 26. Ferrah I. 14. van der Sande J. 11. Sjostrand O.	1. Westerveld S. (G) 39. Sy K. 3. Dicke F. 24. Zaian A. 25. Tehubijuluw D. 8. Van Dessel S. 31. Kleinen M. 10. Silva Timas I. 28. Amgar A. 11. Verheijen T. 9. Braken S. (C)
Substitutes
7. Balk R. 13. Binder N. 19. Henstra I. 2. Jermoumi D. 24. Jonker T. 31. Kalisvaart M. 27. Kooistra W. 47. Look D. 21. Meijster J. (G) 48. van der Heide W. 40. Veldhuis S. 9. Visser K.	21. Asante D. 6. El Basri N. 27. Foubert L. 2. Francis S. 12. Goffings V. 17. Kassimi A. 14. Kuipers M. 19. Pawirodihardjo J. 32. Tran L. M. 23. van der Heijden S. (G) 26. van Kempen M.
Coaches
de Jong H.	van den Berg P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Sjostrand O. ⚽, Ferrah I. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
61', 2 - 0, Baouf I. ⚽,
62', Verheijen T. ↓, Foubert L. ↑,
62', Amgar A. ↓, El Basri N. ↑,
63', van der Sande J. ↓, Balk R. ↑,
71', 3 - 0, Rolke T. ⚽, Balk R. (A),
72', Silva Timas I. ↓, Asante D. ↑,
76', Ferrah I. ↓, Henstra I. ↑,
76', Rolke T. ↓, Binder N. ↑,
78', 4 - 0, Henstra I. ⚽, Binder N. (A),
83', Galvez T. ↓, Jermoumi D. ↑,
83', Souren N. ↓, van der Heide W. ↑,
83', Braken S. ↓, Kassimi A. ↑,
83', Tehubijuluw D. ↓, van Kempen M. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cambuur won 5.

Cambuur is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Maastricht's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Cambuur is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Maastricht: Poitoux T. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cambuur won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 41:20. (average 2.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Cambuur won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:12. (average 2.4:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leeuwarden Cambuur
Dutch Eerste Divisie
12.12.25	Willem II - Cambuur	0:1 ✺
05.12.25	Cambuur - Den Bosch	2:1 ✺
28.11.25	Cambuur - Helmond Sport	0:0 ✺
21.11.25	Cambuur - ADO Den Haag	2:0 ✺
15.11.25	FC Eindhoven - Cambuur	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWTWT
- MVV Maastricht
Dutch Eerste Divisie
12.12.25	MVV Maastricht - Jong Ajax	2:1 ✺
05.12.25	Helmond Sport - MVV Maastricht	2:4 ✺
30.11.25	MVV Maastricht - Roda	0:0 ✺
25.11.25	Waalwijk - MVV Maastricht	1:0 ✺
21.11.25	MVV Maastricht - Jong AZ Alkmaar	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
12.09.25	MVV Maastricht - Cambuur	0:1
09.05.25	Cambuur - MVV Maastricht	1:0
09.08.24	MVV Maastricht - Cambuur	0:1
12.01.24	Cambuur - MVV Maastricht	5:2
Dutch KNVB Beker
02.11.23	Cambuur - MVV Maastricht	4:1
Dutch Eerste Divisie
20.10.23	MVV Maastricht - Cambuur	1:1
31.01.21	Cambuur - MVV Maastricht	2:0

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