Match Info

AUSTRALIA: A-League - Round 12

Date: 3 January 2025, Friday

Location: HBF Park (Perth)

Referee: Abraham B. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App
Australia	Paramount+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Hong-kong	M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	U-NEXT
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
New-zealand	Sky Sport 3, Sky Sport 4
Nigeria	Sporty TV
Philippines	Cignal Play, Premier Football
Singapore	HUB Sports 2, StarHub TV+
South-korea	SPOTV Now
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1
Usa	ESPN 3, ESPN App


	Perth Glory		Western United

	1	X	2
	5	4.33	1.62	Watch
	4.75	4.1	1.61
	4.75	4.2	1.63
	4.84	4.42	1.62	Watch
	4.8	4	1.62
	4.7	4.45	1.63	Watch
	4.75	4.2	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.8 ↑ (4.34)	4.24 ↑ (3.88)	1.62 ↓ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Perth Glory
19.7%

Draw
22.2%

Western United
58.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.8%

24.4%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7%

24.3%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Perth Glory has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Western United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perth Glory than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western United than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.7%	0%	79.3%

Perth Glory - Western United Predictions

Users Predictions: Western United will win (23 of 29 users predict this - 79.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.57% – 94.05%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sail O. (G) 19. Risdon J. 24. Lebib A. 29. Mrcela T. 15. Lisolajski Z. 7. Pennington N. 20. Ostler T. 12. Gomulka T. 26. Ngo K. 22. Taggart A. (C) 25. Pearman J.	33. Sutton M. (G) 13. Russell T. 6. Imai T. (C) 30. Leonard D. 17. Garuccio B. 23. Bozinovski R. 32. Thurgate A. 7. Najjarine R. 10. Grimaldi M. 77. Danzaki R. 19. Botic N.
Substitutes
31. Anasmo J. 14. Blair N. 16. Bugarija A. 17. Carluccio J. 13. Cook C. (G) 3. Hamzaoui A. 6. O'Neill B.	1. Heward-Belle T. (G) 9. Ibusuki H. 44. Lauton J. 24. Ruhs M. 37. Vickery L. 22. Vidmar K. 34. York J.
Coaches
Zdrilic D.	Aloisi J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', Lebib A. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Taggart A. ⚽, Pearman J. (A),
33', 1 - 1, Grimaldi M. ⚽, Thurgate A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Najjarine R. ↓, Ibusuki H. ↑,
46', Ngo K. ↓, Carluccio J. ↑,
60', Pearman J. ↓, O'Neill B. ↑,
66', 2 - 1, Carluccio J. ⚽, Taggart A. (A),
76', Grimaldi M. ↓, Vickery L. ↑,
79', Zdrilic D. 🟨,
82', Ostler T. ↓, Hamzaoui A. ↑,
82', Bozinovski R. ↓, Lauton J. ↑,
85', Risdon J. 🟨,
86', Lauton J. 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 2, Russell T. ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 3, Lauton J. ⚽, Thurgate A. (A),
90+6', Lauton J. 🟨,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Perth won 0.

Perth is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Western United is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Western United is a favorite.

There will not play in Perth: Amini M. (Injury) Hamzaoui A. (Injury) Mileusnic N. (Injury)

There will not play in Western United: Kaddour K. (Knee Injury) Pasquali S. (Injury)

There are questionable in Western United: Donachie J. (Calf Injury)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Perth won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 16:30 (average 1.2:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Perth won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10:14 (average 1.4:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Perth Glory
Australian A-League
27.12.24	Perth Glory - Macarthur FC	0:3 ✺
21.12.24	Brisbane Roar - Perth Glory	0:1 ✺
14.12.24	Perth Glory - Newcastle Jets	0:4 ✺
08.12.24	Melbourne Victory - Perth Glory	2:0 ✺
29.11.24	Adelaide United - Perth Glory	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LWLLT
- Western United
Australian A-League
29.12.24	Western United - Brisbane Roar	1:0 ✺
20.12.24	Auckland FC - Western United	0:4 ✺
14.12.24	Sydney - Western United	3:4 ✺
07.12.24	Western United - Macarthur FC	0:0 ✺
01.12.24	Western United - Melbourne Victory	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.5 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League
22.11.24	Perth Glory - Western United	1:3
21.04.24	Perth Glory - Western United	3:4
02.03.24	Western United - Perth Glory	1:0
29.04.23	Perth Glory - Western United	1:2
04.03.23	Western United - Perth Glory	2:1
10.12.22	Perth Glory - Western United	2:1
16.04.22	Western United - Perth Glory	6:0

Perth Glory - Western United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide