The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Melbourne City 48.6%
Draw 24.3%
Western United 27.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.8%
23.4%
22.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.4%
23.1%
22.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Melbourne City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Melbourne City's form might have worsened.
Western United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Melbourne City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western United than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
94.7%
0%
5.3%
Melbourne City - Western United Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Melbourne City will win
(18 of 19 users predict this - 94.74%). Confidence interval (95%): 84.7% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Melbourne City will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Beach P. (G) 13. Atkinson N. 22. Ferreyra G. 27. Trewin K. 16. Behich A. 21. Lopane A. 6. Ugarkovic S. 10. Cohen Y. 30. Kuen A. 23. Tilio M. 17. Caputo M.
33. Sutton M. (G) 6. Imai T. 4. Donachie J. 30. Leonard D. 17. Garuccio B. 77. Danzaki R. 23. Bozinovski R. 32. Thurgate A. 20. Walatee A. 19. Botic N. 24. Ruhs M.
Substitutes
39. Durakovic E. 7. Leckie M. 35. Memeti M. 18. Ochsenham D. (G) 47. Rahmani K. 19. Schreiber Z. 2. Talbot C.
10. Grimaldi M. 9. Ibusuki H. 44. Lauton J. 5. Lavale O. 7. Najjarine R. 13. Russell T. 70. Vonja M. (G)
Coaches
Vidmar A.
Aloisi J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Behich A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Lopane A. ↓, Leckie M. ↑,
46', Ruhs M. ↓, Ibusuki H. ↑,
46', Imai T. ↓, Russell T. ↑,
60', Walatee A. ↓, Grimaldi M. ↑,
60', Atkinson N. ↓, Talbot C. ↑,
67', 1 - 1, Botic N. ⚽, Grimaldi M. (A),
71', Ugarkovic S. ↓, Schreiber Z. ↑,
71', Tilio M. ↓, Memeti M. ↑,
73', Behich A. 🟨,
73', Garuccio B. 🟨,
78', Danzaki R. ↓, Najjarine R. ↑,
82', Bozinovski R. ↓, Lauton J. ↑,
83', Cohen Y. ↓, Rahmani K. ↑,
87', Leckie M. 🟨,
Preview
1st leg result: 3-0. 2nd leg.
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne City won 5.
Melbourne City is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Western United has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, Western United has had a series of home games.
Melbourne City will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Melbourne City: Jeggo J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Nabbout A.
(Knee Injury)
Necovski J.
(Knee Injury)
Nieuwenhuizen J.
(Knee Injury)
Souprayen S.
(Calf Injury)
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Melbourne City won 13 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:18. (average 1.8:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne City won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 1.7:0.9).
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Ferreyra G. 
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