Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 8

Date: 29 January 2026, Thursday

Location: TSC Arena (Bačka Topola)

Referee: Kikacheishvili G. (Geo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
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Denmark	Disney+
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France	Canal+ Live 14
Germany	RTL+
Greece	ANT 1+
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Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Calcio
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN / App
Russia	Okko Sport
Singapore	beIN Connect
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 17
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 12, Blue Sport 12
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 13
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 9, TNT Sports Extra
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	VIX App


	Maccabi Tel Aviv		Bologna

	1	X	2
	9	5.5	1.3
	10	5.55	1.32
	9.84	5.66	1.31
	9.35	5.61	1.31	Watch
	9	5	1.3
	9.45	5.77	1.33
	9.5	5.33	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.45 ↑ (7.32)	5.49 ↑ (4.31)	1.31 ↓ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maccabi Tel Aviv
10.1%

Draw
17.4%

Bologna
72.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.1%

22.2%

64.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.8%

21.1%

61.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maccabi Tel Aviv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Bologna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bologna's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Tel Aviv than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bologna, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7%	4.7%	88.4%

Maccabi Tel Aviv - Bologna Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Bologna (1.46) (votes: 7 - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +1.5 - Maccabi Tel Aviv (1.95) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Bologna will win (38 of 43 users predict this - 88.37%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.79% – 97.95%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bologna will win (14 of 14 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 24 Selected Experts predict this event. Maccabi Tel Aviv (votes: 2 - 8.3%). Bologna (votes: 22 - 91.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Melika O. (G) 41. Ben Hamo I. 4. Heitor 13. Shlomo R. 21. Ben Harush N. 10. Andrade K. 23. Lederman B. 28. Sissokho I. 3. Revivo R. 42. Peretz D. (C) 19. Madmon E.	1. Skorupski L. (G) 20. Zortea N. 41. Vitik M. 16. Casale N. 33. Miranda J. 8. Freuler R. 6. Moro N. 7. Orsolini R. 19. Ferguson L. (C) 11. Rowe J. 9. Castro S.
Substitutes
34. Abu Farhi S. 6. Asante T. 59. Asres L. 60. Ben Simon I. 77. Davida O. 15. Malede Y. 90. Mishpati R. (G) 30. Noy I. 51. Saadia S. (G) 36. Shahar I. 29. Varela H. 52. Weinberg I.	10. Bernardeschi F. 28. Cambiaghi N. 24. Dallinga T. 14. Heggem T. 2. Holm E. 22. Lykogiannis C. 21. Odgaard J. 25. Pessina M. (G) 4. Pobega T. 13. Ravaglia F. (G)
Coaches
Romann D.	Italiano V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', Shlomo R. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Rowe J. ⚽, Moro N. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
47', 0 - 2, Orsolini R. ⚽,
51', Shlomo R. ↓, Asante T. ↑,
51', Andrade K. ↓, Varela H. ↑,
52', Rowe J. ↓, Bernardeschi F. ↑,
67', Madmon E. ↓, Ben Simon I. ↑,
70', Castro S. ↓, Dallinga T. ↑,
70', Orsolini R. ↓, Cambiaghi N. ↑,
79', Ben Hamo I. ↓, Shahar I. ↑,
79', Peretz D. ↓, Davida O. ↑,
86', Moro N. ↓, Pobega T. ↑,
86', Ferguson L. ↓, Odgaard J. ↑,
90+4', 0 - 3, Pobega T. ⚽,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - TSC Arena.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Maccabi Tel Aviv may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bologna is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Maccabi Tel Aviv: Belic K. (Inactive) Gropper D. (Inactive) Nicolaescu I. (Injury)

There will not play in Bologna: Bernardeschi F. (Collarbone injury) Bonifazi K. (Inactive) De Silvestri L. (Inactive) Fauske Helland E. (Inactive) Immobile C. (Inactive) Lucumi J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Maccabi Tel Aviv: Asante T. (Injury)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maccabi Tel Aviv
Israeli Ligat haAl
26.01.26	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Hapoel Tel Aviv	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.01.26	Freiburg - Maccabi Tel Aviv	1:0 ✺
Israeli Ligat haAl
18.01.26	Maccabi Haifa - Maccabi Tel Aviv	4:1 ✺
Israeli State Cup
14.01.26	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Maccabi Tel Aviv	1:2 penalties ✺
Israeli Ligat haAl
10.01.26	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLWW
- Bologna FC
Italian Serie A
25.01.26	Genoa - Bologna	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.01.26	Bologna - Celtic	2:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
18.01.26	Bologna - Fiorentina	1:2 ✺
15.01.26	Verona - Bologna	2:3 ✺
10.01.26	Como - Bologna	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTLWT

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