Match Info

Serie A - Round 20

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia (Como)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, SuperSport Football, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sports 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1
Haiti	Tele Haiti
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Match 4
Indonesia	Vidio
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kuwait	Shasha
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Malaysia	Astro Arena 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean, ESPN Norte
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-america	ESPN South
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	ON Football, TV 360, VTVcab


	Como		Bologna

	1	X	2
	2	3.25	4	Watch
	1.98	3.25	4.15	Watch
	2.01	3.31	4.06	Watch
	2	3.1	3.8
	2.06	3.41	4.22
	2.05	3.2	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.13)	3.25 ↓ (3.37)	4.04 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Como
47.2%

Draw
29.2%

Bologna
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

28.1%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

28.5%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Como has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Como than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.7%	27.6%	1.7%

Como - Bologna Predictions

Users Predictions: 58 users predict this event. Como will win (votes: 41 - 70.7%). Bologna will win (votes: 1 - 1.7%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 27.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Como: 59% – 82.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 30 Selected Experts predict this event. Como (votes: 19 - 63.3%). Tie (votes: 11 - 36.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DC - Bologna (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Bologna (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 32 Selected Experts predict this event. Como (votes: 19 - 59.4%). Bologna (votes: 2 - 6.3%). Tie (votes: 11 - 34.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Butez J. (G) 77. Van der Brempt I. 2. Kempf M. O. 34. Diego Carlos 18. Moreno A. 23. Perrone M. 33. Da Cunha L. (C) 31. Vojvoda M. 10. Paz N. 17. Rodriguez J. 11. Douvikas A.	13. Ravaglia F. (G) 20. Zortea N. 14. Heggem T. 26. Lucumi J. 33. Miranda J. 8. Freuler R. (C) 4. Pobega T. 11. Rowe J. 80. Fabbian G. 28. Cambiaghi N. 9. Castro S.
Substitutes
20. Baturina M. 6. Caqueret M. 44. Cavlina N. (G) 99. Cerri A. 4. Dossena A. 19. Kuhn N. 27. Posch S. 8. Roberto S. 28. Smolcic I. 21. Tornqvist N. (G) 3. Valle A.	16. Casale N. 24. Dallinga T. 29. De Silvestri L. 30. Dominguez B. 19. Ferguson L. 82. Franceschelli M. (G) 17. Immobile C. 22. Lykogiannis C. 6. Moro N. 21. Odgaard J. 7. Orsolini R. 25. Pessina M. (G) 77. Sulemana I. 41. Vitik M.
Coaches
Fabregas C.	Italiano V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Lucumi J. ↓, Vitik M. ↑,
40', Paz N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', Da Cunha L. 🟨,
49', 0 - 1, Cambiaghi N. ⚽, Castro S. (A),
57', Vojvoda M. ↓, Kuhn N. ↑,
57', Da Cunha L. ↓, Caqueret M. ↑,
60', Cambiaghi N. 🟥,
60', Van der Brempt I. 🟨,
63', Van der Brempt I. ↓, Posch S. ↑,
64', Freuler R. 🟨,
70', Zortea N. 🟨,
75', Castro S. ↓, Immobile C. ↑,
75', Freuler R. ↓, Ferguson L. ↑,
76', Rowe J. ↓, Casale N. ↑,
83', Ferguson L. 🟨,
83', Pobega T. ↓, Sulemana I. ↑,
84', Moreno A. ↓, Baturina M. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 1, Baturina M. ⚽, Rodriguez J. (A),

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 8)

Recent performances by Como have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bologna has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Como may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Como has had a series of away games.

In this match, Como is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Como: Addai J. (Thigh Injury) Diao A. (Thigh Injury) Goldaniga E. (Heel Injury) Morata A. (Thigh Injury) Ramon J. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Bologna: Bernardeschi F. (Collarbone injury) Bonifazi K. (Inactive) Skorupski L. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Como won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Como won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Como: 6.45% Bologna: 0.25%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9:6	3	10
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3:6	-3	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Como
Italian Serie A
06.01.26	Pisa - Como	0:3 ✺
03.01.26	Como - Udinese	1:0 ✺
27.12.25	Lecce - Como	0:3 ✺
15.12.25	Roma - Como	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Inter Milan - Como	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWLL
- Bologna FC
Italian Serie A
07.01.26	Bologna - Atalanta	0:2 ✺
04.01.26	Inter Milan - Bologna	3:1 ✺
28.12.25	Bologna - Sassuolo	1:1 ✺
Italian Super Cup
22.12.25	Napoli - Bologna	2:0 ✺
19.12.25	Bologna - Inter Milan	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
30.08.25	Bologna - Como	1:0
01.02.25	Bologna - Como	2:0
14.09.24	Como - Bologna	2:2

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