Match Info

Serie A - Round 16

Date: 15 January 2026, Thursday


	Verona		Bologna

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.1	2.15	Watch
	3.7	3.15	2.18	Watch
	3.87	3.21	2.17	Watch
	3.5	3	2.1
	4.12	3.16	2.12
	3.8	3.2	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.8 ↑ (3.63)	3.14 ↓ (3.33)	2.14 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Verona
25.1%

Draw
30.4%

Bologna
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

28.5%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

27.4%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Verona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Verona than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	31.7%	58.3%

Verona - Bologna Predictions

Users Predictions: 60 users predict this event. Verona will win (votes: 6 - 10%). Bologna will win (votes: 35 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 31.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bologna: 45.8% – 70.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 27 Selected Experts predict this event. Bologna (votes: 17 - 63%). Tie (votes: 10 - 37%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Verona (1.93) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Verona (2.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Verona (1.66) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH +0.75 - Bologna (1.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 34 Selected Experts predict this event. Verona (votes: 5 - 14.7%). Bologna (votes: 19 - 55.9%). Tie (votes: 10 - 29.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Montipo L. (G) 5. Nunez U. 15. Nelsson V. 6. Valentini N. 36. Niasse C. 8. Serdar S. (C) 73. Al Musrati 24. Bernede A. 12. Bradaric D. 16. Orban G. 9. Sarr A.	13. Ravaglia F. (G) 2. Holm E. 14. Heggem T. 41. Vitik M. 33. Miranda J. 8. Freuler R. (C) 4. Pobega T. 7. Orsolini R. 21. Odgaard J. 30. Dominguez B. 9. Castro S.
Substitutes
70. Cham F. 23. Ebosse E. 63. Gagliardini R. 17. Giovane 21. Harroui A. 41. Isaac 25. Mosquera D. 2. Oyegoke D. 34. Perilli S. (G) 19. Slotsager T. 94. Toniolo G. (G)	16. Casale N. 24. Dallinga T. 29. De Silvestri L. 80. Fabbian G. 19. Ferguson L. 17. Immobile C. 22. Lykogiannis C. 6. Moro N. 25. Pessina M. (G) 11. Rowe J. 1. Skorupski L. (G) 77. Sulemana I. 20. Zortea N.
Coaches
Zanetti P.	Italiano V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
12', Nunez U. 🟨,
13', 1 - 0, Orban G. ⚽, Sarr A. (A),
21', 1 - 1, Orsolini R. ⚽, Freuler R. (A),
29', 1 - 2, Odgaard J. ⚽, Dominguez B. (A),
42', Vitik M. 🟨,
44', 1 - 3, Castro S. ⚽, Pobega T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Nunez U. ↓, Slotsager T. ↑,
53', Al Musrati ↓, Gagliardini R. ↑,
53', Serdar S. ↓, Giovane ↑,
59', Orsolini R. 🟨,
65', Castro S. ↓, Immobile C. ↑,
66', Pobega T. ↓, Moro N. ↑,
72', 2 - 3, Freuler R. (Own goal),
77', Niasse C. ↓, Cham F. ↑,
79', Odgaard J. ↓, Ferguson L. ↑,
80', Holm E. ↓, Zortea N. ↑,
82', Sarr A. ↓, Mosquera D. ↑,
90', Orsolini R. ↓, Fabbian G. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Verona won 1.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Bologna could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Verona won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 16:29. (average 0.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Verona won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1:1.3).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Bologna: 0.25%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3:6	-3	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hellas Verona
Italian Serie A
11.01.26	Verona - Lazio	0:1 ✺
07.01.26	Napoli - Verona	2:2 ✺
04.01.26	Verona - Torino	0:3 ✺
28.12.25	Milan - Verona	3:0 ✺
14.12.25	Fiorentina - Verona	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LTLLW
- Bologna FC
Italian Serie A
10.01.26	Como - Bologna	1:1 ✺
07.01.26	Bologna - Atalanta	0:2 ✺
04.01.26	Inter Milan - Bologna	3:1 ✺
28.12.25	Bologna - Sassuolo	1:1 ✺
Italian Super Cup
22.12.25	Napoli - Bologna	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
09.03.25	Verona - Bologna	1:2
30.12.24	Bologna - Verona	2:3
23.02.24	Bologna - Verona	2:0
Coppa Italia
31.10.23	Bologna - Verona	2:0
Italian Serie A
18.09.23	Verona - Bologna	0:0
21.04.23	Verona - Bologna	2:1
Club Friendly
22.12.22	Verona - Bologna	0:1

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