The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Maceratese 59.8%
Draw 23.7%
San Marino Calcio 16.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.2%
25.8%
21%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.2%
22.4%
24.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Maceratese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maceratese's performance.
San Marino Calcio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maceratese than the current prediction. (-13.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maceratese that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marino Calcio than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Marino Calcio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Maceratese - San Marino Calcio Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
67', 2 - 0, ⚽,
89', 3 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).
Maceratese has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
San Marino has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
In this match, Maceratese is the team to beat.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Maceratese won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.