Match Info

AFC Champions League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Prince Abdullah al-Faisal Stadium (Jeddah) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Afghanistan	22:30	Ariana
Argentina	15:00	Disney+
Asia	—	beIN Sports MENA 2, Q Football Asia
Australia	04:00	Paramount+
Brazil	15:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	02:00	iQIYI, Migu
Colombia	13:00	Disney+
Croatia	20:00	SportKlub 9
Germany	20:00	Sportdigital1+
Hong Kong	02:00	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	23:30	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Japan	03:00	DAZN Japan
Malaysia	02:00	Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go
Mexico	12:00	Disney+, ESPN 3, ESPN 4
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Pakistan	23:00	Tapmad
Peru	13:00	Disney+
Romania	21:00	AntenaPLAY
Russia	21:00	TV Start
South Korea	03:00	Coupang Play
Turkey	21:00	D Smart GO, Spor Smart 1
Uruguay	15:00	Disney+
Venezuela	14:00	Disney+
Vietnam	01:00	TV 360
International	18:00	Onefootball


	Machida Zelvia		Al-Ittihad Jeddah

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.95	3.25	1.92
	4.55	3.49	1.92
	4.15	3.37	1.9	Watch
	4.2	3.1	1.85
	4.55	3.42	1.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.28 ↑ (3.51)	3.33 ↓ (3.82)	1.89 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Machida Zelvia
22%

Draw
28.3%

Al-Ittihad Jeddah
49.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.6%

24.4%

49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

23.9%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Machida Zelvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Al-Ittihad Jeddah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Machida Zelvia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ittihad Jeddah than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Machida Zelvia - Al Ittihad Jeddah Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Al-Ittihad will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tani K. (G) 50. Okamura D. 3. Shoji G. (C) 19. Nakayama Y. 88. Nakamura H. 16. Mae H. 31. Lavi N. 26. Hayashi K. 27. Erik 10. Na Sang-Ho 99. Yengi T.	1. Rajkovic P. (G) 13. Al Shanqiti M. 3. Keller S. 15. Kadesh H. 12. Mitaj M. 2. Pereira D. 8. Fabinho (C) 19. Diaby M. 10. Aouar H. 78. Roger 21. En Nesyri Y.
Substitutes
44. Arai Y. (G) 28. Cha Je-Hoon 5. Dresevic I. 9. Fujio S. 49. Kuwayama K. 11. Masuyama A. 6. Mochizuki H. 13. Morita T. (G) 8. Sento K. 18. Shimoda H. 23. Shirasaki R. 34. Tokumura F.	50. Al Absi M. (G) 27. Al Ghamdi A. 16. Al Ghamdi F. 32. Al Julaydan A. 88. Al Mermesh O. (G) 14. Al Nashri A. 24. Al Oboud A. 34. Bergwijn S. 41. Fallatah M. 99. Ilenikhena G. 20. Sharahili A. 4. Simic J.
Coaches
Kuroda G.	Conceicao S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Mitaj M. 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Yengi T. ⚽, Erik (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mitaj M. ↓, Bergwijn S. ↑,
57', Roger ↓, Al Oboud A. ↑,
61', Hayashi K. 🟨,
66', Erik ↓, Tokumura F. ↑,
66', Na Sang-Ho ↓, Sento K. ↑,
76', Al Oboud A. 🟨,
76', Nakamura H. ↓, Mochizuki H. ↑,
76', Lavi N. 🟨,
76', Lavi N. ↓, Shimoda H. ↑,
82', Diaby M. ↓, Ilenikhena G. ↑,
85', Yengi T. 🟨,
85', Yengi T. ↓, Fujio S. ↑,
90', Pereira D. 🟨,
90', Kuroda G. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Machida Zelvia is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Al-Ittihad's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Al-Ittihad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Al-Ittihad is the team to beat.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Outrights of AFC Champions League for now

Al Ittihad: 0.59%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Machida Zelvia
Japan J1 League
11.04.26	Machida Zelvia - Kashiwa Reysol	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Tokyo - Machida Zelvia	0:1 penalties ✺
01.04.26	Machida Zelvia - Tokyo	0:3 ✺
28.03.26	Machida Zelvia - Kawasaki Frontale	2:1 penalties ✺
22.03.26	Urawa Red Diamonds - Machida Zelvia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWLWW
- Al-Ittihad Jeddah
AFC Champions League
14.04.26	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Wahda	1:0 ET ✺
Saudi Professional League
08.04.26	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Neom	3:4 ✺
03.04.26	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al Hazem	1:0 ✺
Saudi King Cup
18.03.26	Al-Kholood - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	3:2 penalties ✺
Saudi Professional League
13.03.26	Al-Riyadh - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWLL

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