Match Info

J1 League - Round 1

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Ajinomoto Stadium (Tokyo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Japan	DAZN Japan
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Tokyo		Machida Zelvia

	1	X	2
	2.32	2.85	3.30	Watch
	2.37	3.10	3.00
	2.4	3	3	Watch
	2.58	3.25	3.13
	2.44	3.14	3.08	Watch
	2.4	3.1	3
	2.47	3.12	3.12	Watch
	2.34	3.00	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.43)	3.07 ↓ (3.15)	3.12 ↓ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tokyo
39.1%

Draw
30.7%

Machida Zelvia
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

30.3%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokyo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Machida Zelvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	60%	0%

Tokyo - Machida Zelvia Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Tokyo will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
81. Kim Seung-Gyu (G) 2. Muroya S. (C) 24. Scholz A. 4. Inamura H. 42. Hashimoto K. 10. Sato K. 18. Hashimoto K. 8. Ko T. 33. Tawaratsumida K. 26. Nagakura M. 9. Marcelo Ryan	1. Tani K. (G) 3. Shoji G. (C) 50. Okamura D. 19. Nakayama Y. 88. Nakamura H. 16. Mae H. 31. Lavi N. 33. Akimoto T. 15. Duke M. 7. Soma Y. 99. Yengi T.
Substitutes
19. Homma S. 22. Ishihara H. 3. Morishige M. 20. Nagano S. 39. Nakagawa T. 15. Omori R. 1. Tanaka H. (G) 27. Tokiwa K. 71. Yamada F.	5. Dresevic I. 9. Fujio S. 6. Mochizuki H. 13. Morita T. (G) 20. Nishimura T. 8. Sento K. 18. Shimoda H. 23. Shirasaki R. 34. Tokumura F.
Coaches
Matsuhashi R.	Kuroda G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
5', 1 - 0, Marcelo Ryan ⚽, Sato K. (A),
27', 1 - 1, Duke M. ⚽, Nakayama Y. (A),
38', Hashimoto K. 🟥,
42', Okamura D. 🟨,
42', Nagakura M. ↓, Ishihara H. ↑,
45+2', 1 - 2, Akimoto T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Tawaratsumida K. ↓, Omori R. ↑,
51', 1 - 3, Soma Y. ⚽,
65', 1 - 4, Yengi T. ⚽, Nakayama Y. (A),
66', Duke M. ↓, Nishimura T. ↑,
66', Marcelo Ryan ↓, Yamada F. ↑,
66', Hashimoto K. ↓, Homma S. ↑,
79', Lavi N. ↓, Shirasaki R. ↑,
79', Yengi T. ↓, Fujio S. ↑,
79', Nakamura H. ↓, Mochizuki H. ↑,
80', 1 - 5, Okamura D. ⚽,
85', Soma Y. ↓, Sento K. ↑,
85', Inamura H. ↓, Nakagawa T. ↑,
89', Sato K. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 2.

Tokyo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Kikuchi R. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Tokyo: Bangnagande K. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Machida Zelvia: Erik (Inactive) Koch A. (Inactive)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

FC Tokyo: 11.22%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Machida	4	3	1	0	13:3	10	10
5	FC Tokyo	4	2	1	1	8:7	1	7

Last Results with these Odds

Tokyo - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 39.24%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Tokyo
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Tokyo - Borussia Dortmund	0:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
06.06.26	Tokyo - Cerezo Osaka	1:3 ✺
30.05.26	Cerezo Osaka - Tokyo	2:2 ✺
23.05.26	Kashima Antlers - Tokyo	1:0 ✺
16.05.26	Urawa Red Diamonds - Tokyo	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLTLW
- Machida Zelvia
Japan J1 League
06.06.26	Machida Zelvia - Nagoya Grampus	2:1 ET ✺
30.05.26	Nagoya Grampus - Machida Zelvia	2:2 ✺
22.05.26	Machida Zelvia - Urawa Red Diamonds	1:0 ✺
17.05.26	Kawasaki Frontale - Machida Zelvia	2:1 penalties ✺
13.05.26	Machida Zelvia - Tokyo Verdy	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
05.04.26	Tokyo - Machida Zelvia	0:1 penalties
01.04.26	Machida Zelvia - Tokyo	0:3
Japan Emperors Cup
15.11.25	Machida Zelvia - Tokyo	2:0 ET
Japan J1 League
09.11.25	Machida Zelvia - Tokyo	0:1
22.02.25	Tokyo - Machida Zelvia	0:1
09.11.24	Machida Zelvia - Tokyo	3:0
21.04.24	Tokyo - Machida Zelvia	1:2

Tokyo - Machida Zelvia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide