Match Info

Date: 30 May 2021, Sunday


	Machida Zelvia		Giravanz Kitakyushu

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.5	5	Watch
	1.75	3.4	4.75	Watch
	1.68	3.45	4.9
	1.71	3.78	5.3
	1.67	3.4	5
	1.72	3.65	5.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.71)	3.53 ↓ (3.56)	5.02 ↑ (4.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Machida Zelvia
54.9%

Draw
26.5%

Giravanz Kitakyushu
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

26.2%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

15.8%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Giravanz Kitakyushu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (-22%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Machida Zelvia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giravanz Kitakyushu than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Giravanz Kitakyushu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.3%	3.4%	17.2%

Machida Zelvia - Giravanz Kitakyushu Predictions

Users Predictions: Machida Zelvia will win (23 of 29 users predict this - 79.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.57% – 94.05%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Machida Zelvia is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Machida Zelvia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Machida Zelvia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Machida Zelvia
Japan J2 League
23.05.21	JEF United Chiba - Machida Zelvia	1:1 ✺
16.05.21	Machida Zelvia - Albirex Niigata	2:1 ✺
09.05.21	Sagamihara - Machida Zelvia	1:1 ✺
05.05.21	Fagiano Okayama - Machida Zelvia	1:2 ✺
02.05.21	Machida Zelvia - Renofa Yamaguchi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWTWL
- Giravanz Kitakyushu
Japan J2 League
23.05.21	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Omiya Ardija	3:1 ✺
16.05.21	Tokyo Verdy - Giravanz Kitakyushu	2:0 ✺
09.05.21	Giravanz Kitakyushu - V-Varen Nagasaki	0:1 ✺
05.05.21	Tochigi - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:2 ✺
01.05.21	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Matsumoto Yamaga	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
30.09.20	Machida Zelvia - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:1
15.08.20	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Machida Zelvia	2:1
06.11.16	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Machida Zelvia	1:3
15.05.16	Machida Zelvia - Giravanz Kitakyushu	0:1

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