Match Info

Date: 9 May 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Sagamihara		Machida Zelvia

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.5	1.8	Watch
	4.4	3.25	1.83	Watch
	4.4	3.25	1.81
	4.69	3.43	1.88
	4.33	3.2	1.85
	4.45	3.44	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.41 ↑ (4.14)	3.35 ↑ (3.32)	1.84 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sagamihara
21.2%

Draw
28%

Machida Zelvia
50.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

22.6%

28.2%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16%

20%

64%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sagamihara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagamihara than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sagamihara that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Machida Zelvia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sagamihara - Machida Zelvia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League and 5).

Sagamihara is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Machida Zelvia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Machida Zelvia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Machida Zelvia is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Sagamihara
Japan J2 League
05.05.21	Matsumoto Yamaga - Sagamihara	2:1 ✺
01.05.21	Sagamihara - Ryūkyū	1:5 ✺
25.04.21	JEF United Chiba - Sagamihara	0:1 ✺
21.04.21	Ventforet Kofu - Sagamihara	2:0 ✺
18.04.21	Sagamihara - Júbilo Iwata	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLWLL
- Machida Zelvia
Japan J2 League
05.05.21	Fagiano Okayama - Machida Zelvia	1:2 ✺
02.05.21	Machida Zelvia - Renofa Yamaguchi	0:2 ✺
25.04.21	Omiya Ardija - Machida Zelvia	0:1 ✺
21.04.21	Machida Zelvia - Ryūkyū	3:0 ✺
17.04.21	V-Varen Nagasaki - Machida Zelvia	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 WLWWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Sagamihara
Japan J3 League
31.10.26	Kochi United - Sagamihara	✺
- Machida Zelvia
Japan J1 League
01.11.26	Machida Zelvia - Gamba Osaka	✺
AFC Champions League 2
29.10.26	Shanghai Shenhua - Machida Zelvia	✺

Sagamihara - Machida Zelvia

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Sagamihara - Machida Zelvia Predictions

Preview

Form

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