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Current Win Probability
Machida Zelvia 61.8%
Draw 22.6%
Júbilo Iwata 15.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
58.9%
24%
17.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.2%
23.1%
16.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
Júbilo Iwata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Júbilo Iwata than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
53.8%
7.7%
38.5%
Machida Zelvia - Júbilo Iwata Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Iwata will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Machida Zelvia: 26.7% – 80.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Tani K. (G) 33. Mochizuki H. 3. Shoji G. (C) 19. Nakayama Y. 25. Sugioka D. 9. Fujio S. 23. Shirasaki R. 8. Sento K. 22. Fujimoto K. 90. Oh Se-Hun 11. Erik
1. Kawashima E. (G) 50. Uemura H. 15. Suzuki K. 32. Hilo H. 4. Matsubara K. 16. Leo Gomes 19. Bruno Jose 14. Matsumoto M. 37. Hirakawa R. 48. Kawai T. 11. Germain R.
Substitutes
47. Araki S. 15. Duke M. 42. Fukui K. (G) 26. Hayashi K. 10. Na Sang-Ho 18. Shimoda H. 39. Vasquez B.
23. Croux J. 31. Furukawa Y. 21. Miura R. (G) 26. Nishikubo S. 36. Ricardo Graca 55. Watanabe R. 10. Yamada H.
Coaches
Kuroda G.
Yokouchi A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Nakayama Y. ⚽, Sugioka D. (A),
29', 2 - 0, Erik ⚽, Mochizuki H. (A),
45+2', 3 - 0, Fujimoto K. ⚽, Oh Se-Hun (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kaneko S. ↓, Furukawa Y. ↑,
46', Hirakawa R. ↓, Watanabe R. ↑,
57', 4 - 0, Fujio S. (Pen),
59', Erik ↓, Vasquez B. ↑,
60', Fujio S. ↓, Araki S. ↑,
60', Bruno Jose ↓, Croux J. ↑,
60', Matsumoto M. ↓, Nishikubo S. ↑,
72', Hilo H. 🟨,
75', Fujimoto K. ↓, Na Sang-Ho ↑,
75', Oh Se-Hun ↓, Duke M. ↑,
85', Uemura H. ↓, Yamada H. ↑,
87', Sento K. ↓, Shimoda H. ↑,
Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League and 17).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Machida Zelvia won 2.
Machida Zelvia is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Iwata is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Machida Zelvia is a favorite.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Machida Zelvia won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-10.
Including matches at home between the teams Machida Zelvia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.
China
Japan
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Tani K. (G) 
Oh Se-Hun 
Erik 
Hilo H. 
Duke M. 
Vasquez B. 
Croux J. 
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