The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cerezo Osaka 34.2%
Draw 29.9%
Machida Zelvia 35.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.9%
28.8%
33.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.1%
28.6%
33.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerezo Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.5%
50%
37.5%
Cerezo Osaka - Machida Zelvia Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% โ 84.6%.
1. Fukui K. (G) 33. Nishio R. 3. Shindo R. 44. Hatanaka S. 6. Noborizato K. 13. Nakajima M. 8. Kagawa S. 48. Shibayama M. 38. Kitano S. 17. Sakata R. 9. Rafael Ratao
1. Tani K. (G) 5. Dresevic I. 50. Okamura D. 3. Shoji G. 6. Mochizuki H. 16. Mae H. 18. Shimoda H. 19. Nakayama Y. 9. Fujio S. 7. Soma Y. 15. Duke M.
Substitutes
77. Fernandes L. 14. Funaki K. 29. Furuyama K. 5. Kida H. 21. Kim Jin-Hyeon (G) 22. Takahashi N. 11. Thiago Andrade 7. Uejo S.
26. Hayashi K. 49. Kuwayama K. 13. Morita T. (G) 10. Na Sang-Ho 90. Oh Se-Hun 8. Sento K. 23. Shirasaki R. 99. Takahashi D. 39. Vasquez B.
Coaches
Papastamatis A.
Kuroda G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Mae H. 🟨,
26', Fujio S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Fujio S. ↓, Na Sang-Ho ↑,
46', Duke M. ↓, Oh Se-Hun ↑,
46', Mochizuki H. ↓, Hayashi K. ↑,
49', 0 - 1, Oh Se-Hun ⚽, Nakayama Y. (A),
52', Kagawa S. 🟨,
54', Noborizato K. ↓, Takahashi N. ↑,
54', Sakata R. ↓, Fernandes L. ↑,
66', Shibayama M. ↓, Thiago Andrade ↑,
66', Nakajima M. ↓, Uejo S. ↑,
72', Shindo R. ↓, Furuyama K. ↑,
72', Shimoda H. ↓, Shirasaki R. ↑,
78', 0 - 2, Dresevic I. ⚽, Soma Y. (A),
87', Soma Y. ↓, Sento K. ↑,
90+2', Dresevic I. 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 2, Thiago Andrade ⚽, Fernandes L. (A),
Preview
Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 15 and 11).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Cerezo Osaka won 0.
Recent matches Cerezo Osaka is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Machida Zelvia is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Cerezo Osaka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Hirano Y.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Narasaka T.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Machida Zelvia: Kikuchi R.
(Injury)
Last 6 head-to-head matches Cerezo Osaka won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:10 (average 1:1.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Cerezo Osaka won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:6 (average 0.7:2).
Australia
China
Hong-kong
India
Japan
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Fukui K. (G) 
Rafael Ratao 
Dresevic I. 
Duke M. 
Kim Jin-Hyeon (G) 
Vasquez B. 
