Match Info

JAPAN: J2 LEAGUE - ROUND 42

Date: 11 November 2023, Saturday


	Vegalta Sendai		Machida Zelvia

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.5	2.1	Watch
	3.1	3.25	2.05
	3.2	3.5	2.1	Watch
	3.39	3.6	2.2
	3.39	3.6	2.17
	3	3.4	2
	3.32	3.52	2.1	Watch
	3.25	3.5	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↓ (3.85)	3.48 ↓ (3.8)	2.1 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vegalta Sendai
28.8%

Draw
26.8%

Machida Zelvia
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.3%

24.6%

51%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

24.1%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vegalta Sendai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Machida Zelvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Machida Zelvia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vegalta Sendai than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Machida Zelvia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vegalta Sendai - Machida Zelvia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Hayashi A. (G) 22. Koide Y. 15. Sugata M. 3. Fukumori N. 20. Kim Tae-Hyeon 11. Goke Y. 32. Kamada H. 37. Nagasawa K. 18. Kida R. 13. Yamada H. 16. Kato C.	42. Fukui K. (G) 43. Suzuki J. 14. Jang M. 34. Fujiwara Y. 6. Ota K. 39. Vasquez B. 16. Uno Z. 18. Shimoda H. 10. Takahashi D. 7. Araki S. 15. Duke M.
Substitutes
6. Ewerton 4. Hachisuka K. 1. Obata Y. (G) 27. Onaiwu G. 10. Ryang Yong-G. 14. Sagara R. 28. Sugawara R.	29. Ademilson 25. Fujio S. 19. Inaba S. 2. Okuyama M. 22. Onaga H. 23. Popp W. (G) 41. Yasui T.
Coaches
Ito A.	Kuroda G.

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League).

Machida Zelvia is Confirmed as champions, Qualified for J1 League

Recent matches Sendai is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Machida Zelvia in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Machida Zelvia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Machida Zelvia will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Sendai won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Sendai won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vegalta Sendai
Japan J2 League
04.11.23	V-Varen Nagasaki - Vegalta Sendai	2:1 ✺
28.10.23	Vegalta Sendai - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:1 ✺
22.10.23	Blaublitz Akita - Vegalta Sendai	0:1 ✺
08.10.23	Iwaki - Vegalta Sendai	2:2 ✺
30.09.23	Vegalta Sendai - Roasso Kumamoto	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LTWTW
- Machida Zelvia
Japan J2 League
05.11.23	Renofa Yamaguchi - Machida Zelvia	0:2 ✺
29.10.23	Machida Zelvia - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:0 ✺
22.10.23	Roasso Kumamoto - Machida Zelvia	0:3 ✺
14.10.23	Blaublitz Akita - Machida Zelvia	1:2 ✺
08.10.23	Machida Zelvia - Ventforet Kofu	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
19.02.23	Machida Zelvia - Vegalta Sendai	0:0
02.07.22	Machida Zelvia - Vegalta Sendai	2:3
26.03.22	Vegalta Sendai - Machida Zelvia	0:3

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