Match Info

J1 League - Round 7

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Ajinomoto Stadium (Tokyo)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Tokyo Verdy		JEF United Chiba

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.30	3.20	Watch
	2.30	3.10	3.20
	2.23	3.15	3.15	Watch
	2.38	3.26	3.32
	2.25	3.31	3.28	Watch
	2.30	3.20	3.25
	2.18	3.33	3.43	Watch
	2.27	3.20	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.22)	3.23 ↓ (3.37)	3.26 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tokyo Verdy
41.8%

Draw
29.3%

JEF United Chiba
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

27.9%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

27.6%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokyo Verdy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

JEF United Chiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for JEF United Chiba than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	81.8%	9.1%

Tokyo Verdy - JEF United Chiba Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Tokyo Verdy will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). JEF United will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 81.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 59% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. JEF United (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matheus (G) 15. Suzuki K. 4. Hayashi N. (C) 5. Inoue R. 40. Arai Y. 16. Hirakawa R. 8. Saito K. 18. Mizoguchi S. 71. Hirao H. 14. Fukuda Y. 9. Someno I.	19. Suarez J. (C) 39. Ishio R. 66. Hall D. 24. Toriumi K. 67. Hidaka M. 18. Sugiyama N. 5. Kobayashi Y. 25. Matheus Indio 8. Tsukui T. 20. Ishikawa D. 29. Yamura K.
Substitutes
33. Ichimi K. 38. Kanda S. 25. Kumatoriya I. 7. Matsuhashi Y. 20. Meshino S. 21. Nagasawa Y. (G) 29. Sako M. 2. Shibato K. 22. Uchida Y.	6. Eduardo 99. Erison 9. Goya H. 42. Issaka Z. 28. Kawano T. 23. Suzuki R. (G) 4. Taguchi T. 14. Tsubaki N. 11. Yonekura K.
Coaches
Hiroshi J.	Kobayashi Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Matheus 🟨,
42', Hidaka M. 🟨,
45+1', Fukuda Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Sugiyama N. ↓, Erison ↑,
53', Ishikawa D. 🟨,
58', 0 - 1, Erison ⚽,
65', Hirao H. ↓, Ichimi K. ↑,
74', Fukuda Y. ↓, Kumatoriya I. ↑,
74', Saito K. ↓, Meshino S. ↑,
75', Hidaka M. ↓, Yonekura K. ↑,
75', Hall D. ↓, Kawano T. ↑,
83', Toriumi K. 🟨,
84', Yamura K. ↓, Goya H. ↑,
87', Suzuki K. ↓, Matsuhashi Y. ↑,
87', Erison 🟨,
90+2', Matheus Indio ↓, Taguchi T. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 1, Hayashi N. ⚽, Mizoguchi S. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Tokyo Verdy will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Tokyo Verdy: Tanabe S. (Knee Injury) Yamami H. (Knee Injury) Yoshida T. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in JEF United: Ueda Y. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Tokyo Verdy: Morita K. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:28. (average 1.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo Verdy won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:13. (average 1.6:1.3).

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Verdy: 0.65% Chiba: 0.52%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Verdy	4	0	2	2	2:6	-4	2
20	Chiba	4	0	0	4	2:13	-11	0

Last Results with these Odds

Tokyo Verdy - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 42.43%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tokyo Verdy
Japan J League Cup
09.09.26	Reilac Shiga - Tokyo Verdy	0:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
06.09.26	Cerezo Osaka - Tokyo Verdy	0:0 ✺
02.09.26	Tokyo Verdy - Vissel Kobe	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Tokyo Verdy - Kashima Antlers	0:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Tokyo Verdy - Thespakusatsu Gunma	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WTLLW
- JEF United Chiba
Japan J League Cup
09.09.26	Kamatamare Sanuki - JEF United Chiba	0:2 ✺
Japan J1 League
06.09.26	JEF United Chiba - Gamba Osaka	2:0 ✺
02.09.26	JEF United Chiba - Fagiano Okayama	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Kawasaki Frontale - JEF United Chiba	4:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	JEF United Chiba - Azul Claro Numazu	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
18.04.26	Tokyo Verdy - JEF United Chiba	1:0
04.04.26	JEF United Chiba - Tokyo Verdy	3:2
Japan J2 League
26.11.23	Tokyo Verdy - JEF United Chiba	2:1
22.10.23	Tokyo Verdy - JEF United Chiba	3:2
16.04.23	JEF United Chiba - Tokyo Verdy	1:0
26.06.22	JEF United Chiba - Tokyo Verdy	3:1
23.04.22	Tokyo Verdy - JEF United Chiba	1:1

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