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Current Win Probability
Kashima Antlers 41.6%
Draw 30.2%
Machida Zelvia 28.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43%
28.3%
28.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.7%
27.2%
27.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kashima Antlers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
Machida Zelvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
28.6%
57.1%
14.3%
Kashima Antlers - Machida Zelvia Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Kashima will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Hayakawa T. (G) 22. Nono K. 55. Ueda N. 3. Kim Tae-Hyeon 16. Mizoguchi S. 27. Matsumura Y. 10. Shibasaki G. (C) 13. Chinen K. 77. Cavric A. 9. Leo Ceara 40. Suzuki Y.
1. Tani K. (G) 3. Shoji G. (C) 50. Okamura D. 19. Nakayama Y. 88. Nakamura H. 16. Mae H. 31. Lavi N. 26. Hayashi K. 27. Erik 10. Na Sang-Ho 99. Yengi T.
Substitutes
71. Araki R. 24. Hayashu H. 14. Higuchi Y. 29. Kajikawa Y. (G) 25. Koike R. 19. Morooka S. 7. Ogawa R. 5. Sekigawa I. 11. Tagawa K.
5. Dresevic I. 9. Fujio S. 11. Masuyama A. 6. Mochizuki H. 13. Morita T. (G) 8. Sento K. 18. Shimoda H. 23. Shirasaki R. 34. Tokumura F.
Coaches
Oniki T.
Kuroda G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Yengi T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', Lavi N. 🟨,
50', 1 - 0, Leo Ceara ⚽, Shibasaki G. (A),
53', 1 - 1, Yengi T. ⚽, Na Sang-Ho (A),
57', Hayashi K. 🟨,
62', Chinen K. ↓, Higuchi Y. ↑,
62', Matsumura Y. ↓, Morooka S. ↑,
62', Cavric A. ↓, Tagawa K. ↑,
67', Erik ↓, Sento K. ↑,
67', Na Sang-Ho ↓, Tokumura F. ↑,
83', Shibasaki G. ↓, Araki R. ↑,
83', Mizoguchi S. ↓, Ogawa R. ↑,
83', Nakamura H. ↓, Mochizuki H. ↑,
83', Nakayama Y. ↓, Dresevic I. ↑,
89', Lavi N. ↓, Shimoda H. ↑,
90+3', Mae H. 🟨,
Penalties (4 - 2)
1, Shimoda H. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Tagawa K. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Dresevic I. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Suzuki Y. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Tani K. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Ogawa R. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Mae H. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Leo Ceara (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kashima won 3.
Kashima has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Machida Zelvia is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Kashima may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Kashima has had a series of away games.
Kashima is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Kashima: Misao K.
(Red Card)
There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Kikuchi R.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Kashima won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.6:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Kashima won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 3:0.7).
Brazil
China
Japan
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Hayakawa T. (G) 
Kim Tae-Hyeon 
Cavric A. 
Leo Ceara 
Lavi N. 
Yengi T. 
Dresevic I. 
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