Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal 2 - Round 33

Date: 12 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Mafra (Mafra)

Referee: Costa B. J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV+


	Mafra		Santa Clara

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.8	1.6
	5.25	3.5	1.55
	5.5	3.75	1.62
	6.15	3.9	1.6
	6.12	3.86	1.61
	5.8	3.7	1.5
	5.6	3.73	1.58
	5.2	3.7	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.61 ↓ (6.17)	3.74 ↓ (3.85)	1.58 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mafra
16.5%

Draw
24.8%

Santa Clara
58.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.2%

24.3%

60.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.7%

23.6%

62.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mafra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Santa Clara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Mafra - Santa Clara Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Mafra will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Santa Clara will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Andre Paulo (G) 19. Diao O. 4. Goulart J. 44. Texel P. 77. Matos R. 20. Miguel Sousa 6. Bravo P. 10. Pite (C) 17. de Sousa Dias Pedro Lopes A. F. 96. Fale M. 18. Sturgeon F.	1. Gabriel Batista (C) 4. Pacheco P. 13. Rocha L. 5. Rafael Santos 2. Diogo Calila 8. Ferreira P. 20. Adriano Firmino 32. MT 19. Almeida B. 30. Safira 70. Vinicius Lopes
Substitutes
80. Balburdia M. 60. Barros G. 2. Beni D. 7. Dju M. 62. Fabinho 8. Gabriel L. 70. Lind J. 27. Nibe A. 16. Olafsson E. (G)	18. Ageu E. 11. Andrezinho 74. Diaz M. 49. Gabriel Silva 16. Henrique P. 77. Klismahn G. 99. Rafael Martins 21. Semedo Y. 6. Velazquez S.
Coaches
Silas	Pires L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Safira ⚽, MT (A),
13', 0 - 2, Diogo Calila ⚽, Adriano Firmino (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Safira ↓, Rafael Martins ↑,
58', Almeida B. ↓, Klismahn G. ↑,
58', Vinicius Lopes ↓, Gabriel Silva ↑,
62', Sturgeon F. ↓, Nibe A. ↑,
62', Pite ↓, Gabriel L. ↑,
73', Diogo Calila ↓, Semedo Y. ↑,
79', Matos R. ↓, Balburdia M. ↑,
79', Fale M. ↓, Dju M. ↑,
85', Bravo P. ↓, Barros G. ↑,
90+1', Adriano Firmino ↓, Ageu E. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Santa Clara could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Santa Clara is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Mafra won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Mafra won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mafra
Portuguese Liga 2
06.05.24	AVS - Mafra	3:3 ✺
27.04.24	Mafra - Oliveirense	3:3 ✺
21.04.24	Académico de Viseu - Mafra	0:1 ✺
14.04.24	Mafra - Feirense	0:0 ✺
07.04.24	Vilaverdense - Mafra	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TTWTL
- CD Santa Clara
Portuguese Liga 2
03.05.24	Santa Clara - Belenenses	2:0 ✺
28.04.24	Porto B - Santa Clara	2:2 ✺
20.04.24	Santa Clara - Tondela	1:0 ✺
14.04.24	Marítimo - Santa Clara	0:0 ✺
07.04.24	Santa Clara - Paços de Ferreira	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
06.01.24	Santa Clara - Mafra	0:1
28.02.16	Santa Clara - Mafra	1:0
30.09.15	Mafra - Santa Clara	0:0

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