Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 6

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal de Arouca (Arouca)

Referee: Ferreira V. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Arouca		Santa Clara

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.10	2.85	Watch
	2.50	3.10	2.80
	2.60	3.15	2.75	Watch
	2.65	3.11	2.99
	2.63	3.03	2.92	Watch
	2.60	3.05	2.95
	2.63	3.13	2.93	Watch
	2.55	3.10	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (2.65)	3.1 ↓ (3.13)	2.88 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arouca
36.6%

Draw
30.6%

Santa Clara
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

30%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

29.6%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arouca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Santa Clara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arouca than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	71.4%	14.3%

Arouca - Santa Clara Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Arouca will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Santa Clara will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. De Arruabarrena I. (G) 28. Tiago Esgaio (C) 15. Sanchez J. 3. Fontan J. 18. Lebedenko O. 6. van Ee E. 8. Fukui T. 19. Trezza A. 10. Gozalbez P. 7. Djouahra N. 17. Barbero I.	1. Lucas Franca (G) 42. Lucas Soares 4. Pacheco P. 21. Fernandes E. 5. Guilherme Romao 8. Tavares J. 6. Ferreira P. 20. Ribeiro T. 70. Vinicius Lopes 9. Paciencia G. (C) 10. Brenner
Substitutes
37. Climent M. 71. Duarte M. (G) 21. Flores M. 24. Mansilla B. 9. Mayulu F. 4. Monteiro D. 23. Nandin D. 77. Park S. 89. Pedro Santos 5. Popovic B. 20. Rukavina G. 1. Vinarcik J. (G)	41. Daniel Borges 18. Duarte A. 7. Fernando 73. Leo Jaco 25. Medeiros F. 12. Neneca (G) 3. Silva H. 99. Sorriso 17. Vasconcelos 22. Vitinho 11. Welinton Torrao 19. Ythallo
Coaches
Seabra V.	Petit

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
22', 0 - 1, Paciencia G. ⚽, Tavares J. (A),
23', Gozalbez P. ↓, Flores M. ↑,
33', Fernandes E. 🟨,
36', 0 - 2, Tavares J. ⚽, Pacheco P. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', 1 - 2, Barbero I. ⚽, Djouahra N. (A),
54', Djouahra N. 🟨,
61', Tavares J. ↓, Daniel Borges ↑,
65', van Ee E. 🟨,
65', Ribeiro T. 🟨,
67', Djouahra N. ↓, Rukavina G. ↑,
67', van Ee E. ↓, Pedro Santos ↑,
71', Ferreira P. 🟨,
72', Ribeiro T. ↓, Silva H. ↑,
72', Brenner ↓, Welinton Torrao ↑,
72', Paciencia G. ↓, Fernando ↑,
80', Lebedenko O. ↓, Mayulu F. ↑,
80', Trezza A. ↓, Mansilla B. ↑,
81', Vinicius Lopes ↓, Sorriso ↑,
83', Sorriso 🟨,
84', Sorriso 🟥,
87', Rukavina G. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arouca won 1.

Now, both teams are in good form.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Arouca: Puche (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Santa Clara: MT (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Santa Clara: Costa J. (Inactive)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Arouca won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:15. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Arouca won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:6. (average 1.8:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Santa Clara	8	5	3	0	12:4	8	18
6	Arouca	7	3	2	2	10:7	3	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Arouca
Liga Portugal
07.09.26	Estoril Praia - Arouca	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Arouca - Marítimo	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	Porto - Arouca	2:0 ✺
16.08.26	Arouca - Moreirense	4:0 ✺
08.08.26	Vitoria Guimarães - Arouca	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 TWLWW
- CD Santa Clara
Liga Portugal
06.09.26	Santa Clara - Rio Ave	4:0 ✺
29.08.26	Alverca - Santa Clara	1:1 ✺
23.08.26	Santa Clara - Famalicão	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Académico de Viseu - Santa Clara	0:1 ✺
10.08.26	Santa Clara - Nacional	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
25.07.26	Santa Clara - Arouca	3:0
Liga Portugal
02.05.26	Arouca - Santa Clara	2:2
21.12.25	Santa Clara - Arouca	0:0
26.04.25	Santa Clara - Arouca	2:0
15.12.24	Arouca - Santa Clara	1:0
11.02.23	Arouca - Santa Clara	1:0
Portuguese League Cup
16.12.22	Santa Clara - Arouca	1:2

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