Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO PERNAMBUCANO - ROUND 12

Date: 18 March 2023, Saturday


	Maguary		Náutico Capibaribe

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.1	1.85
	3.65	3.15	1.85
	3.76	3.08	1.99
	3.8	3.34	1.91
	3.85	3.2	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.76 ↓ (4.04)	3.17 ↓ (3.25)	1.9 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maguary
24%

Draw
28.5%

Náutico Capibaribe
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

27.8%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

27.3%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maguary has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maguary than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Maguary - Náutico Capibaribe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Pernambucano (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Recent matches Maguary is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Náutico is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Maguary could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Náutico is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Maguary
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
26.02.23	Afogados da Ingazeira - Maguary	1:1 ✺
12.02.23	Maguary - Central SC	1:1 ✺
08.02.23	Caruaru City - Maguary	2:3 ✺
02.02.23	Maguary - Belo Jardim	0:0 ✺
29.01.23	Santa Cruz Recife - Maguary	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TTWTT
- Náutico Capibaribe
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
15.03.23	Íbis - Náutico Capibaribe	0:4 ✺
12.03.23	Náutico Capibaribe - Salgueiro	2:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
09.03.23	Náutico Capibaribe - Vila Nova	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
04.03.23	Náutico Capibaribe - Sport Recife	0:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
01.03.23	São Bernardo - Náutico Capibaribe	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWWLW

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