Match Info

National League South - Round 8

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday

Location: York Road (Maidenhead)


	Maidenhead United		Chelmsford City

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.3	3.2
	2.02	3.45	3.25
	1.85	3.79	3.81
	2.00	3.69	3.29	Watch
	2.06	3.44	3.27
	2.23	3.18	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.41)	3.48 ↑ (3.25)	3.25 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maidenhead United
45.3%

Draw
26.4%

Chelmsford City
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

28.2%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

28.1%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maidenhead United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maidenhead United's performance.

Chelmsford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chelmsford City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maidenhead United than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maidenhead United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelmsford City than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chelmsford City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Maidenhead United - Chelmsford City Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Maidenhead (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Dulson L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
90', 1 - 1, Barham J. ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 1, Popoola ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maidenhead won 3.

Maidenhead is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Chelmsford has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Maidenhead could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Maidenhead won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Maidenhead won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.4:0.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Chelmsford City - the odds 2.72 are the expected chance of winning is 33.76%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maidenhead United
English National League South
02.09.25	Bath City - Maidenhead United	0:4 ✺
30.08.25	Dover Athletic - Maidenhead United	1:2 ✺
25.08.25	Maidenhead United - Horsham	2:1 ✺
23.08.25	Weston-super-Mare - Maidenhead United	1:0 ✺
19.08.25	Maidenhead United - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWLT
- Chelmsford City
English National League South
01.09.25	Chelmsford City - Farnborough	2:5 ✺
30.08.25	Chelmsford City - Chesham United	2:1 ✺
25.08.25	Maidstone United - Chelmsford City	0:0 ✺
23.08.25	Chelmsford City - Chippenham Town	2:1 ✺
19.08.25	Ebbsfleet United - Chelmsford City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
06.03.17	Chelmsford City - Maidenhead United	0:1
20.08.16	Maidenhead United - Chelmsford City	1:0
12.03.16	Chelmsford City - Maidenhead United	4:1
19.09.15	Maidenhead United - Chelmsford City	1:0
21.03.15	Chelmsford City - Maidenhead United	1:1
14.02.15	Maidenhead United - Chelmsford City	2:0
22.02.14	Chelmsford City - Maidenhead United	0:3

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