The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mallorca 63.1%
Draw 24.8%
Castellón 12.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.8%
25.2%
13%
Our Initial ML Estimation
73.7%
21.1%
10.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mallorca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
Castellón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mallorca than the current prediction. (+10.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mallorca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
93.4%
1.7%
5%
Mallorca - Castellón Predictions
Users Predictions:
Mallorca will win
(113 of 121 users predict this - 93.39%). Confidence interval (95%): 88.96% – 97.82%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion to LaLiga and 18).
Mallorca has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (32%), has a good chance of promoted (73%), has a chance of win league (28%).
Castellón has a good chance of relegated (53%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Mallorca in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Castellón is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match Mallorca is the unquestionable favorite.
In this match Mallorca is absolute favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Mallorca won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.
Including matches at home between the teams Mallorca won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.