The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cartagena 28.6%
Draw 32.8%
Mallorca 38.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.5%
33.1%
35.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.4%
23.6%
49.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
Mallorca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cartagena that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mallorca than the current prediction. (+11.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mallorca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
22.9%
28.6%
48.6%
Cartagena - Mallorca Predictions
Users Predictions:
35 users predict this event. Cartagena will win (votes: 8 - 22.9%). Mallorca will win (votes: 17 - 48.6%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 28.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Mallorca: 32% – 65.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 16 and 2 in the zone Promotion to LaLiga).
Cartagena has a chance of relegated (24%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (7%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Mallorca has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (43%), has a good chance of promoted (51%), has a small chance of win league (14%).
Cartagena has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Mallorca is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Mallorca could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Mallorca will have a small advantage in this match.
Mallorca will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Cartagena won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Cartagena won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.
Watch
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