Match Info

Date: 1 May 2021, Saturday


	Mallorca		Mirandés

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.6	6.5	Watch
	1.53	3.7	6.75
	1.57	3.55	6.75	Watch
	1.57	3.65	6
	1.61	3.71	7.13
	1.7	3.2	6	Watch
	1.61	3.76	6.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.74)	3.6 ↑ (3.14)	6.47 ↑ (5.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mallorca
59.2%

Draw
26.2%

Mirandés
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

29.8%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

17.3%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mallorca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mallorca's performance.

Mirandés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mallorca than the current prediction. (-28%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mallorca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mirandés could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52%	24%	24%

Mallorca - Mirandés Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Mallorca will win (votes: 13 - 52%). Mirandés will win (votes: 6 - 24%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 24%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mallorca: 32.4% – 71.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion to LaLiga and 9).

Mallorca has not chance of relegated, has a small chance of prom. playoffs (11%), has a good chance of promoted (91%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Mirandés has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Mallorca could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Mallorca is certain favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Mallorca won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Mallorca won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RCD Mallorca
Spanish LaLiga2
26.04.21	Sabadell - Mallorca	1:0 ✺
17.04.21	Castellón - Mallorca	1:0 ✺
11.04.21	Mallorca - Lugo	2:0 ✺
04.04.21	Las Palmas - Mallorca	1:1 ✺
01.04.21	Mallorca - Leganés	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWTW
- CD Mirandés
Spanish LaLiga2
25.04.21	Mirandés - Almería	1:1 ✺
21.04.21	Mirandés - Tenerife	0:0 ✺
18.04.21	Albacete Balompié - Mirandés	1:0 ✺
14.04.21	Rayo Vallecano - Mirandés	0:1 ✺
11.04.21	Mirandés - UD Logroñés	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
18.10.20	Mirandés - Mallorca	0:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF Promotion Play Offs
27.05.18	Mirandés - Mallorca	0:0
20.05.18	Mallorca - Mirandés	3:1
Spanish LaLiga2
04.06.17	Mirandés - Mallorca	2:2
06.01.17	Mallorca - Mirandés	2:0
20.03.16	Mallorca - Mirandés	1:1
17.10.15	Mirandés - Mallorca	2:2

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