Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 14

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio de Gran Canaria (Las Palmas)

Referee: Ruiz A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 4, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, Supersport Action
Argentina	ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	TSN+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 4
Hong-kong	M Plus Live
India	GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, RCTI+, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kosovo	ART Sport 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Mexico	Sky Sport
Montenegro	Arena Sport 3
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium 2
Pakistan	ARY ZAP
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 5, CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 4
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Singapore	beIN Sport 1, StarHub TV+
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, Gol Play, Gol Stadium, IB3, LaLiga TV Bar 2, LaLiga TV Bar, Movistar Plus+ 1, TV Canaria
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4
Taiwan	DAZN
Tanzania	Azam Sports 1
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 2, LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Usa	ESPN 3, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Vietnam	SCTV Online
World	Disney+


	Las Palmas		Mallorca

	1	X	2
	2.8	3	2.75	Watch
	2.8	2.95	2.75
	2.85	3	2.8	Watch
	2.99	3	2.84
	2.96	2.91	2.83	Watch
	2.88	2.88	2.75
	3.02	3	2.85	Watch
	2.85	3	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↓ (3.01)	2.97 ↓ (2.99)	2.8 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: ESPN Deportes

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Current Win Probability

Las Palmas
33.2%

Draw
32.4%

Mallorca
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

32%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Palmas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Mallorca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mallorca than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.8%	44.7%	39.5%

Las Palmas - Mallorca Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Las Palmas will win (votes: 5 - 13.9%). Mallorca will win (votes: 15 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 28.2% – 60.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cillessen J. (G) 18. Viti 4. Alex Suarez 15. McKenna S. 23. Munoz A. 29. Essugo D. 8. Campana J. 19. Ramirez S. 20. Rodriguez K. (C) 14. Fuster M. 37. Silva F.	1. Greif D. (G) 2. Morey Bauza M. 24. Valjent M. 21. Raillo A. (C) 22. Mojica J. 27. Navarro R. 8. Morlanes M. 12. Samu Costa 10. Darder S. 14. Rodriguez D. 7. Muriqi V.
Substitutes
9. Cardona M. 21. Gil I. 6. Gonzalez F. 28. Herzog J. 13. Horkas D. (G) 5. Javier Munoz 12. Loiodice E. 3. Marmol M. 17. Mata J. 16. McBurnie O. 10. Moleiro A. 11. Ramirez B.	20. Chiquinho 6. Copete J. 30. Domenech M. 31. Garcia P. (G) 19. Llabres J. 33. Luna D. 5. Mascarell O. 13. Roman L. (G) 18. Sanchez A. 16. Valery 4. Van Der Heyden S.
Coaches
Martinez D.	Arrasate J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Morlanes M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
46', 0 - 1, Rodriguez D. ⚽,
56', 0 - 2, Navarro R. ⚽, Mojica J. (A),
61', Fuster M. ↓, Moleiro A. ↑,
61', Campana J. ↓, Javier Munoz ↑,
62', Munoz A. ↓, Ramirez B. ↑,
64', Essugo D. 🟨,
68', Raillo A. 🟨,
71', Rodriguez D. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
71', Raillo A. ↓, Copete J. ↑,
76', Rodriguez K. ↓, Mata J. ↑,
76', Navarro R. ↓, Mascarell O. ↑,
77', 1 - 2, Essugo D. ⚽,
83', 2 - 2, Silva F. (Pen),
86', Morey Bauza M. ↓, Chiquinho ↑,
86', Darder S. ↓, Valery ↑,
88', Mata J. 🟨,
88', Muriqi V. 🟥,
90', Ramirez S. ↓, McBurnie O. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 3, Mojica J. ⚽, Samu Costa (A),
90+2', Moleiro A. 🟨,
90+3', Alex Suarez 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Las Palmas won 1.

Las Palmas is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Mallorca is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Las Palmas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Las Palmas have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Mallorca: Asano T. (Thigh Injury) Maffeo P. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Mallorca: Lato T. (Muscle Injury) Pichu Cuellar (Injury) Prats A. (Muscle Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Las Palmas won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13:13 (average 1.2:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Las Palmas won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:7 (average 1.4:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga
08.11.24	Rayo Vallecano - Las Palmas	1:3 ✺
03.11.24	Atlético Madrid - Las Palmas	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
31.10.24	Ontiñena - Las Palmas	0:7 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
26.10.24	Las Palmas - Girona	1:0 ✺
21.10.24	Valencia - Las Palmas	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.4 WLWWW
- RCD Mallorca
Spanish LaLiga
10.11.24	Mallorca - Atlético Madrid	0:1 ✺
01.11.24	Deportivo Alavés - Mallorca	1:0 ✺
28.10.24	Mallorca - Athletic Bilbao	0:0 ✺
20.10.24	Mallorca - Rayo Vallecano	1:0 ✺
05.10.24	Espanyol - Mallorca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
11.05.24	Mallorca - Las Palmas	1:0
12.08.23	Las Palmas - Mallorca	1:1
Spanish LaLiga2
04.04.21	Las Palmas - Mallorca	1:1
10.01.21	Mallorca - Las Palmas	0:1
17.03.19	Las Palmas - Mallorca	1:2
27.10.18	Mallorca - Las Palmas	2:2
31.01.15	Las Palmas - Mallorca	2:1

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