Match Info

Date: 11 April 2021, Sunday


	Mallorca		Lugo

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.5	6.5	Watch
	1.6	3.5	6.25
	1.65	3.45	6	Watch
	1.62	3.4	6
	1.66	3.59	6.62
	1.57	3.5	7	Watch
	1.64	3.68	5.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.55)	3.52 ↓ (3.71)	6.33 ↓ (6.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mallorca
58.3%

Draw
26.8%

Lugo
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

25.4%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.6%

21.3%

11.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mallorca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Lugo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mallorca than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mallorca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.5%	5%	17.5%

Mallorca - Lugo Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Mallorca will win (votes: 31 - 77.5%). Lugo will win (votes: 7 - 17.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mallorca: 64.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion to LaLiga and 17).

Mallorca has not chance of relegated, has a chance of prom. playoffs (17%), has a good chance of promoted (87%), has a small chance of win league (14%).

Lugo has a chance of relegated (37%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

Recent matches Mallorca is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lugo is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Mallorca is indisputable favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Mallorca won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Mallorca won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RCD Mallorca
Spanish LaLiga2
04.04.21	Las Palmas - Mallorca	1:1 ✺
01.04.21	Mallorca - Leganés	1:0 ✺
29.03.21	Fuenlabrada - Mallorca	4:1 ✺
20.03.21	Mallorca - Real Oviedo	0:0 ✺
14.03.21	Sporting de Gijón - Mallorca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TWLTL
- CD Lugo
Spanish LaLiga2
04.04.21	Lugo - Málaga	0:1 ✺
01.04.21	Las Palmas - Lugo	6:1 ✺
28.03.21	Lugo - Sabadell	0:1 ✺
21.03.21	Lugo - Castellón	0:0 ✺
13.03.21	Girona - Lugo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
11.10.20	Lugo - Mallorca	0:1
Club Friendly
05.09.20	Lugo - Mallorca	0:1
Spanish LaLiga2
17.02.19	Mallorca - Lugo	3:0
29.09.18	Lugo - Mallorca	1:1
Club Friendly
09.08.17	Lugo - Mallorca	0:1
Spanish LaLiga2
11.03.17	Mallorca - Lugo	1:1
01.10.16	Lugo - Mallorca	3:1

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