Match Info

Date: 17 April 2021, Saturday


	Castellón		Mallorca

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.4	1.83	Watch
	4.5	3.1	1.9
	4.9	3.05	1.85	Watch
	4.7	3.05	1.84
	5.29	3.18	1.9
	4.2	3	2	Watch
	5	3.05	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.73 ↑ (4.36)	3.12 ↑ (3.05)	1.89 ↓ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castellón
19.9%

Draw
30.2%

Mallorca
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.6%

30.9%

47.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

19.9%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castellón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Mallorca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castellón, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mallorca than the current prediction. (-19.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mallorca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	8.3%	54.2%

Castellón - Mallorca Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Castellón will win (votes: 9 - 37.5%). Mallorca will win (votes: 13 - 54.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mallorca: 34.3% – 74.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 and 2 in the zone Promotion to LaLiga).

Castellón has a chance of relegated (34%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

Mallorca has not chance of relegated, has a small chance of prom. playoffs (6%), has a good chance of promoted (95%), has a small chance of win league (13%).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Mallorca is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Castellón won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Castellón
Spanish LaLiga2
12.04.21	Alcorcón - Castellón	2:1 ✺
03.04.21	Castellón - Real Oviedo	1:0 ✺
31.03.21	Albacete Balompié - Castellón	0:1 ✺
26.03.21	Castellón - Espanyol	1:3 ✺
21.03.21	Lugo - Castellón	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWWLT
- RCD Mallorca
Spanish LaLiga2
11.04.21	Mallorca - Lugo	2:0 ✺
04.04.21	Las Palmas - Mallorca	1:1 ✺
01.04.21	Mallorca - Leganés	1:0 ✺
29.03.21	Fuenlabrada - Mallorca	4:1 ✺
20.03.21	Mallorca - Real Oviedo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
07.12.20	Mallorca - Castellón	3:1
Club Friendly
01.09.20	Mallorca - Castellón	2:0

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